New Mexico State vs Dayton Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 20

Dayton coach Anthony Grant shouts from the sideline during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Lindenwood, Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Dayton, Ohio.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
  • Dayton is a -16.5 point favorite vs New Mexico State
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • New Mexico State / Dayton TV channel: ESPN+

The New Mexico State Aggies visit University of Dayton Arena to take on the Dayton Flyers on Nov. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Dayton, OH.

Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).

The New Mexico State vs. Dayton Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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New Mexico State vs. Dayton Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
New Mexico State+16.5 -110O 141.5 -110+825
Dayton -16.5 -110U 141.5 -110-1400

New Mexico State vs Dayton Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Dayton will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

New Mexico State vs Dayton Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Dayton will cover the spread with 62.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • New Mexico State have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 games (+15.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+5.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+0.65 Units / 2% ROI)

New Mexico State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

New Mexico State has a 1-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 57.14% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 2-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 8.58% ROI
  • 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI

New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico State averaged 11.4 assists per game (343 assists/30 games) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

New Mexico State averaged 68.6 points per game (2,059 points/30 games) last season — tied for 35th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

New Mexico State shot 46% from inside the arc (239/525) last season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

New Mexico State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (343 assists/ 350 TOs) last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,384 points/1,694 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Dayton had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (476 assists/ 332 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

New Mexico State Defensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico State allowed opponents to shoot 42% (713/1,701) last season — 3rd best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 43%

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton averaged 5.6 steals per game (178 steals/32 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Dayton allowed 66.4 points per game (2,124 points/32 games) last season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.