New Orleans vs Lamar Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 11, 2024, 10:49 AM
  • Lamar (18-10) is a -9.5 point favorite vs New Orleans (11-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • New Orleans / Lamar TV channel: ESPN+

The New Orleans Privateers (11-17) visit The Legacy Center to take on the Lamar Cardinals (18-10) on Mar. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT in Lake Charles, LA.

Lamar is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The New Orleans vs. Lamar Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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New Orleans vs. Lamar Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
New Orleans+9.5 -115O 154.5 -115+360
Lamar -9.5 -105U 154.5 -105-500

New Orleans vs Lamar Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Lamar will win this college basketball game with 83.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

New Orleans vs Lamar Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Lamar will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • New Orleans has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • New Orleans have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 17 away games (+5.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • New Orleans has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • New Orleans have covered the Spread in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • New Orleans has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Lamar have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Lamar has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+7.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Lamar has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Lamar has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Lamar has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)

New Orleans Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

New Orleans has a 10-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.7 Units / -31.54% ROI).

  • 5-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.3 Units / -54.83% ROI
  • 17-11 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 15.91% ROI
  • 11-17 when betting the Under for -7.7 Units / -25% ROI

Lamar Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Lamar has a 18-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.9 Units / 18.5% ROI).

  • 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -2.51% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 11.93% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Under for -6.75 Units / -21.13% ROI

New Orleans Offensive Stats & Trends:

New Orleans has averaged 14.8 turnovers per game (828 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

New Orleans has an eFG% of 47% this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

New Orleans has 23.0 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 20.6

New Orleans has a TS% of 44% this season — 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Lamar Offensive Stats & Trends:

Lamar has averaged 16.2 assists per game (357 assists/22 games) this season — best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Lamar has averaged 80.6 points per game (1,773 points/22 games) this season — best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 73.8

Lamar is shooting 35% from three (167/472) this season — 2nd best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 33%

Lamar has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (357 assists/ 290 TOs) this season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 1.1

New Orleans Defensive Stats & Trends:

New Orleans has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,232 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

New Orleans has averaged 7.6 steals per game (183 steals/24 games) this season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.6

New Orleans has allowed an average of 1.33 points per shot (4,425 points/3,320 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

New Orleans has 183 steals this season — 4th most among Southland Teams

Lamar Defensive Stats & Trends:

Lamar has averaged 25.0 defensive rebounds per game (549 rebounds/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 23.5

Lamar has averaged 23.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,250 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 22.6

Lamar has averaged 7.5 steals per game (165 steals/22 games) this season — 5th lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Lamar has allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,377/3,147) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Southland Teams ; League Avg: 45%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.