- Duke is a -6.5 point favorite vs North Carolina
- Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
- North Carolina / Duke TV channel: ESPN
The North Carolina Tar Heels visit Spectrum Center to take on the Duke Blue Devils on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Charlotte, NC, NC, USA.
Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-118).
The North Carolina vs. Duke Over/Under is 152.5 total points.
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North Carolina vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina | +6.5 -102 | O 152.5 -110 | +240 |
| Duke | -6.5 -118 | U 152.5 -110 | -300 |
North Carolina vs Duke Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 79.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
North Carolina vs Duke Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.
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North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+11.50 Units / 3% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games (+4.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Duke has hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 37 games (+16.35 Units / 1% ROI)
- Duke have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games (+2.50 Units / 6% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has a 14-19 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.95 Units / -18.58% ROI).
- 22-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 0.32% ROI
- 18-16 when betting the Over for +0.45 Units / 1.2% ROI
- 16-18 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / -10.15% ROI
Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Duke has a 21-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+8.9 Units / 25.28% ROI).
- 29-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +21.95 Units / 1.57% ROI
- 17-15 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI
- 15-17 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -10.51% ROI
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina averaged 82.9 points per game (2,903 points/35 games) last season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
North Carolina has averaged 1.35 points per shot (2,689 points/1,999 shots) this season — 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.26
North Carolina averaged 9.9 turnovers per game (346 turnovers/35 games) last season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6
North Carolina has averaged 81.5 points per game (2,689 points/33 games) this season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.8
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (531 assists/ 295 TOs) this season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (286 assists/ 147 TOs) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (531 assists/ 295 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (531 assists/ 295 TOs) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 40% (425/1,062) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%
North Carolina has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (894 rebounds/33 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1
North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 41% (891/2,158) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 44%
Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (4,218 points/3,777 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
Duke has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,902 points/1,783 shots) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.24
Duke has allowed 65.3 points per game (1,567 points/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74.6
Duke has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,761 rebounds/66 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
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