- Duke (18-11) is a -5.5 point favorite vs North Carolina (17-13)
- Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
- North Carolina / Duke TV channel: ESPN
The North Carolina Tar Heels (17-13) visit Cameron Indoor Stadium to take on the Duke Blue Devils (18-11) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Durham, NC.
Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (+100).
The North Carolina vs. Duke Over/Under is 149.5 total points.
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North Carolina vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina | +5.5 -120 | O 149.5 -105 | +180 |
| Duke | -5.5 +100 | U 149.5 -115 | -225 |
North Carolina vs Duke Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
North Carolina vs Duke Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence for today’s game.
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North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+4.70 Units / 3% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- North Carolina have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.55 Units / 5% ROI)
Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 34 games (+12.65 Units / 4% ROI)
- Duke have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+2.95 Units / 2% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has a 17-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.65 Units / 8.01% ROI).
- 20-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.7 Units / 4.16% ROI
- 13-17 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -17.52% ROI
- 17-13 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 8.21% ROI
Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Duke has a 18-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.9 Units / 17.88% ROI).
- 19-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -1.6% ROI
- 12-18 when betting the Over for -7.75 Units / -23.52% ROI
- 18-12 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 14.52% ROI
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has 349 offensive rebounds on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has 677 defensive rebounds this season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has averaged 10.2 turnovers per game (235 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
North Carolina has a 38% free throw rate (1,302 free throw attempts/3,445 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 31%
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (365 assists/ 221 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Duke is shooting 41% from three (100/241) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (193 assists/ 102 TOs) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3
Duke is shooting 48% (664/1,374) this season — 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (807 points/717 shots) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.30
North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (282/717) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%
North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1
Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (609 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
Duke has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,573 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (388/1,242) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Duke has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (3,843 points/3,406 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.20
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