- North Carolina is a -4.5 point favorite vs San Diego State
- Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
- North Carolina / San Diego State TV channel: truTV
The North Carolina Tar Heels visit UD Arena to take on the San Diego State Aztecs on Mar. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Dayton, OH, USA.
North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The North Carolina vs. San Diego State Over/Under is 142.5 total points.
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North Carolina vs. San Diego State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina | -4.5 -110 | O 142.5 -115 | -210 |
| San Diego State | +4.5 -110 | U 142.5 -105 | +170 |
North Carolina vs San Diego State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
North Carolina vs San Diego State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 70.0% confidence for today’s game.
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North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 games (+10.95 Units / 3% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+4.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 38 games (+2.35 Units / 6% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 37 games (+0.55 Units / 0% ROI)
San Diego State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.10 Units / 4% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.10 Units / 6% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+0.40 Units / 0% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 32 games (+0.11 Units / 0% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has a 15-19 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.95 Units / -15.45% ROI).
- 22-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 0.19% ROI
- 18-17 when betting the Over for -0.65 Units / -1.69% ROI
- 17-18 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / -7.26% ROI
San Diego State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
San Diego State has a 11-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.8 Units / -27.5% ROI).
- 19-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.1 Units / 3.98% ROI
- 15-14 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -1.25% ROI
- 14-15 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina averaged 82.9 points per game (2,903 points/35 games) last season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
North Carolina has 1,962 defensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has averaged 1.34 points per shot (2,828 points/2,110 shots) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.26
North Carolina had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (509 assists/ 346 TOs) last season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends:
San Diego State shot 32% from three (251/795) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%
San Diego State attempted 795 threes last season — most among Mountain West Teams
San Diego State had a TS% of 46% last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 48%
San Diego State shot 32% from three (251/795) last season — 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
North Carolina has averaged 28.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,962 rebounds/70 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 40% (425/1,062) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%
North Carolina has allowed 36.4 points per game (1,273 points/35 games) in the first half this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.3
San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends:
San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (625/1,652) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%
San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (1,468/3,712) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%
San Diego State allowed opponents to shoot 41% (843/2,060) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%
San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (235/775) this season — 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
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