- Duke (21-13) is a -6.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State (19-19)
- Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
- North Carolina State / Duke TV channel: CBS
The North Carolina State Wolfpack (19-19) visit American Airlines Center to take on the Duke Blue Devils (21-13) on Mar. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 5:05pm EDT in Dallas, TX.
Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The North Carolina State vs. Duke Over/Under is 143.5 total points.
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North Carolina State vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina State | +6.5 -110 | O 143.5 -115 | +230 |
| Duke | -6.5 -110 | U 143.5 -105 | -300 |
North Carolina State vs Duke Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Duke will win this March Madness game with 73.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
North Carolina State vs Duke Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts NC State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for this game.
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North Carolina State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- NC State has hit the Moneyline in their last 8 games (+17.40 Units / 126% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+6.85 Units / 83% ROI)
- NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 29% ROI)
Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- Duke have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 27 games (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+4.15 Units / 4% ROI)
North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina State has a 19-19 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2 Units / -4.65% ROI).
- 21-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.65 Units / 17.18% ROI
- 23-15 when betting the Over for +6.5 Units / 15.13% ROI
- 15-23 when betting the Under for -10.25 Units / -23.92% ROI
Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Duke has a 21-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.7 Units / 17.4% ROI).
- 22-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -3.87% ROI
- 14-21 when betting the Over for -9.05 Units / -23.54% ROI
- 21-14 when betting the Under for +5.6 Units / 14.53% ROI
North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (661 turnovers/70 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.6
North Carolina State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (894 assists/ 661 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (339 turnovers/36 games) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6
North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (339 turnovers/36 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:
Duke is shooting 42% from three (147/351) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%
Duke has averaged 8.1 assists per game (268 assists/33 games) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Duke has averaged 1.35 points per shot (2,640 points/1,952 shots) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (516 assists/ 319 TOs) this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina State has averaged 8.4 steals per game (336 steals/40 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4
North Carolina State has 534 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina State has 268 steals this season — 3rd most among ACC Teams
North Carolina State has 268 steals this season — tied for 8th most among Power Conference teams
Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,820 rebounds/69 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Duke has 220 steals this season — 5th most among ACC Teams
Duke has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (4,479 points/3,964 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Duke has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (2,189 points/1,885 shots) this season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
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