North Carolina State vs Florida State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 27

Florida State head coach Leonard Hamilton gives instructions during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Pittsburgh in Pittsburgh, Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023. Florida State won 71-64.
(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
  • Florida State (13-13) is a -2.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State (12-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
  • North Carolina State / Florida State TV channel: ESPN2

The North Carolina State Wolfpack (12-14) visit Donald L. Tucker Center to take on the Florida State Seminoles (13-13) on Feb. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Tallahassee, FL.

Florida State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The North Carolina State vs. Florida State Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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North Carolina State vs. Florida State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina State+2.5 -110O 151.5 -110+125
Florida State -2.5 -110U 151.5 -110-150

North Carolina State vs Florida State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Florida State will win this college basketball game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina State vs Florida State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 58.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+1.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has a 12-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.45 Units / -11.6% ROI).

  • 13-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 1.85% ROI
  • 16-10 when betting the Over for +5 Units / 16.81% ROI
  • 10-16 when betting the Under for -7.55 Units / -25.46% ROI

Florida State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida State has a 12-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.35 Units / -11.32% ROI).

  • 12-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.95 Units / -16.82% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 13.13% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Under for -6.6 Units / -22.22% ROI

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

North Carolina State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (205 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.1

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has a TS% of 46% this season — 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Florida State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (292/430) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74%

Florida State is shooting 69% from the free throw line (335/489) this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Florida State has averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (270 turnovers/22 games) this season — 5th highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.2

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has 445 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among ACC Teams

North Carolina State has averaged 8.8 steals per game (307 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5

North Carolina State has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

North Carolina State has averaged 7.9 steals per game (445 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has averaged 8.5 steals per game (204 steals/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.9

Florida State has averaged 9.5 steals per game (209 steals/22 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Florida State has averaged 9.5 steals per game (209 steals/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Florida State has 209 steals this season — 2nd most among ACC Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.