- North Carolina (19-14) is a -9.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State (16-18)
- Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
- North Carolina State / North Carolina TV channel: ESPN
The North Carolina State Wolfpack (16-18) visit Capital One Arena to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (19-14) on Mar. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Washington, DC.
North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).
The North Carolina State vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 145.5 total points.
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North Carolina State vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina State | +9.5 -115 | O 145.5 -115 | +360 |
| North Carolina | -9.5 -105 | U 145.5 -105 | -500 |
North Carolina State vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 80.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
North Carolina State vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.
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North Carolina State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+4.35 Units / 5% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 36 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 27 games (+9.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- North Carolina have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 34% ROI)
North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina State has a 16-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.9 Units / -10.1% ROI).
- 17-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 6.73% ROI
- 20-14 when betting the Over for +4.6 Units / 11.93% ROI
- 14-20 when betting the Under for -7.95 Units / -20.68% ROI
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has a 19-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.55 Units / 9.75% ROI).
- 23-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 6.5% ROI
- 15-18 when betting the Over for -4.9 Units / -13.46% ROI
- 18-15 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 4.14% ROI
North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7
North Carolina State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (205 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4
North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.1
North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has 349 offensive rebounds on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has 677 defensive rebounds this season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has averaged 10.2 turnovers per game (235 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
North Carolina has a 38% free throw rate (1,302 free throw attempts/3,445 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 31%
North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina State has 445 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among ACC Teams
North Carolina State has averaged 8.8 steals per game (307 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5
North Carolina State has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7
North Carolina State has averaged 7.9 steals per game (445 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (807 points/717 shots) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.30
North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (282/717) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%
North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1
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