North Carolina State vs Texas Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 21

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Texas Tech's Pop Isaacs (2) looks to pass the ball during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Oklahoma State, Saturday, March 4, 2023, in Lubbock, Texas. (AP Photo/Brad Tollefson)
(AP Photo/Brad Tollefson)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 20, 2024, 6:01 PM
  • March Madness 1st Round betting odds & predictions
  • Texas Tech (15-17) is a -4.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State (17-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • North Carolina State / Texas Tech TV channel: CBS

The North Carolina State Wolfpack (17-18) visit PPG Paints Arena to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (15-17) on Mar. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

Texas Tech is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-120).

The North Carolina State vs. Texas Tech Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

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North Carolina State vs. Texas Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina State+4.5 +100O 145.5 -110+180
Texas Tech -4.5 -120U 145.5 -110-225

North Carolina State vs Texas Tech Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this college basketball game with 67.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina State vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 53.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • NC State has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+12.05 Units / 134% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+11.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has a 17-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.9 Units / -7.3% ROI).

  • 18-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.3 Units / 11.56% ROI
  • 21-14 when betting the Over for +5.6 Units / 14.12% ROI
  • 14-21 when betting the Under for -9.05 Units / -22.88% ROI

Texas Tech Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas Tech has a 15-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.7 Units / -10.18% ROI).

  • 21-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.5 Units / 6.03% ROI
  • 19-14 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 9.92% ROI
  • 14-19 when betting the Under for -6.9 Units / -19.01% ROI

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

North Carolina State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (205 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.1

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech attempted 43 threes on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech attempted 43 shots on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech made 0.3 three-pointers per game in transition last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Texas Tech had a TS% of 43% on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has 445 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among ACC Teams

North Carolina State has averaged 8.8 steals per game (307 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5

North Carolina State has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

North Carolina State has averaged 7.9 steals per game (445 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech allowed 25.4 points per game (457 points/18 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Texas Tech allowed opponents to shoot 35% on catch and shoot opportunities (72/204) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Texas Tech allowed 29.1 points per game (523 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2

Texas Tech allowed opponents to shoot 34% on catch and shoot opportunities (15/44) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 48%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.