- Virginia (17-4) are Virginia -7.5 point favorites vs North Carolina State (19-5)
- Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
- Watch the game on ACC Network
The North Carolina State Wolfpack (19-5) visit John Paul Jones Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (17-4) on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Charlottesville.
Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).
The North Carolina State vs. Virginia Over/Under is 133.5 total points.
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North Carolina State vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
North Carolina State | +7.5 -115 | O 133.5 -105 | +240 |
Virginia | -7.5 -105 | U 133.5 -115 | -300 |
North Carolina State vs Virginia Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Virginia will win this game with 68.1% confidence.
North Carolina State vs Virginia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 54.6% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both North Carolina State and Virginia, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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North Carolina State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- NC State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+9.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
Virginia Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games (+13.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the Spread in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.65 Units / 24% ROI)
North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina State has gone 11-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.1 Units / 0% ROI).
- 14-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 6.01% ROI
- 13-11 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI
- 11-13 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI
Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Virginia has gone 8-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.2 Units / 0% ROI).
- 13-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.75 Units / 10.59% ROI
- 12-9 when betting the Over for +2.1 Units / 9.09% ROI
- 9-12 when betting the Under for -4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI
North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina State has averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (226 turnovers/23 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5
North Carolina State has scored 1,838 points this season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina State has attempted 1,475 shots this season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina State has averaged 79.9 points per game (1,838 points/23 games) this season — 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (331 assists/ 188 TOs) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (331 assists/ 188 TOs) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (159 assists/ 97 TOs) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (331 assists/ 188 TOs) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (191 steals/23 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2
North Carolina State has 191 steals this season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina State has averaged 7.6 steals per game (416 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4
North Carolina State has averaged 6.0 steals per game (125 steals/21 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1
Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,287 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
Virginia has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,287 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
Virginia has averaged 6.7 steals per game (134 steals/20 games) this season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2
Virginia has averaged 6.7 steals per game (134 steals/20 games) this season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2
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