North Carolina State vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 7

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Virginia head coach Tony Bennett reacts to a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Wake Forest in Winston-Salem, N.C., Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023.
(AP Photo/Chuck Burton)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 07, 2023, 1:16 PM
  • Virginia (17-4) are Virginia -7.5 point favorites vs North Carolina State (19-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • Watch the game on ACC Network

The North Carolina State Wolfpack (19-5) visit John Paul Jones Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (17-4) on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Charlottesville.

Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The North Carolina State vs. Virginia Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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North Carolina State vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina State+7.5 -115O 133.5 -105+240
Virginia -7.5 -105U 133.5 -115-300

North Carolina State vs Virginia Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Virginia will win this game with 68.1% confidence.

North Carolina State vs Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 54.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both North Carolina State and Virginia, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • NC State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+9.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games (+13.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the Spread in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.65 Units / 24% ROI)

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has gone 11-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.1 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 14-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 6.01% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has gone 8-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.2 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 13-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.75 Units / 10.59% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting the Over for +2.1 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting the Under for -4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (226 turnovers/23 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

North Carolina State has scored 1,838 points this season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina State has attempted 1,475 shots this season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina State has averaged 79.9 points per game (1,838 points/23 games) this season — 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (331 assists/ 188 TOs) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (331 assists/ 188 TOs) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (159 assists/ 97 TOs) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (331 assists/ 188 TOs) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (191 steals/23 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2

North Carolina State has 191 steals this season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina State has averaged 7.6 steals per game (416 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

North Carolina State has averaged 6.0 steals per game (125 steals/21 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,287 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Virginia has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,287 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Virginia has averaged 6.7 steals per game (134 steals/20 games) this season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Virginia has averaged 6.7 steals per game (134 steals/20 games) this season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.