North Dakota vs Denver Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 3

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Denver head coach Jeff Wulbrun yells to his team during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against UCLA Saturday, Dec. 10, 2022, in Los Angeles.
(AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 03, 2023, 11:33 AM
  • North Dakota (12-19) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Denver (15-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The North Dakota Fighting Hawks (12-19) visit Denny Sanford Premier Center to take on the Denver Pioneers (15-16) on Mar. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Sioux Falls.

North Dakota is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The North Dakota vs. Denver Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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North Dakota vs. Denver Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Dakota-1.5 +100O 149.5 -110-115
Denver +1.5 -120U 149.5 -110-105

North Dakota vs Denver Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Denver will win this game with 52.6% confidence.

North Dakota vs Denver Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Denver will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both North Dakota and Denver, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • North Dakota has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.90 Units / 76% ROI)
  • North Dakota has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+10.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • North Dakota has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • North Dakota have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 25 away games (+4.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 27 games (+14.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games (+13.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (+12.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Denver have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 68% ROI)

North Dakota Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Dakota has gone 15-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.4 Units / -1.25% ROI).

  • 10-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -9.72% ROI
  • 19-10 when betting the Over for +8 Units / 25.08% ROI
  • 10-19 when betting the Under for -10.9 Units / -34.17% ROI

Denver Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Denver has gone 12-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.7 Units / -21.04% ROI).

  • 11-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.55 Units / -25.47% ROI
  • 19-9 when betting the Over for +9.1 Units / 28.53% ROI
  • 9-19 when betting the Under for -11.9 Units / -37.3% ROI

North Dakota Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota has made 9.0 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 7.6

North Dakota has made 9.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

North Dakota has averaged 1.19 points per shot (3,844 points/3,233 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

North Dakota has averaged 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (196 rebounds/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 7.9

Denver Offensive Stats & Trends:

Denver has a 44% free throw rate (586 free throw attempts/1,334 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 31%

Denver has a 44% free throw rate (586 free throw attempts/1,334 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%

Denver has attempted 586 free throws this season — most among Summit Teams

Denver has made 4.4 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

North Dakota Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota has averaged 4.2 steals per game (233 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

North Dakota has averaged 4.5 steals per game (109 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

North Dakota has allowed 7.2 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Summit Teams ; League Avg: 7.6

North Dakota has allowed 7.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Summit Teams ; League Avg: 7.7

Denver Defensive Stats & Trends:

Denver has averaged 5.2 steals per game (299 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Denver has averaged 5.3 steals per game (132 steals/25 games) this season — 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Denver has averaged 24.3 defensive rebounds per game (608 rebounds/25 games) this season — 4th best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Denver has forced 11.0 turnovers per game (628 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.