North Dakota State vs South Dakota Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 29, 2024, 12:28 PM
  • North Dakota State (11-14) is a -3.5 point favorite vs South Dakota (13-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • North Dakota State / South Dakota TV channel: ESPN+

The North Dakota State Bison (11-14) visit Sanford Coyote Sports Center to take on the South Dakota Coyotes (13-13) on Feb. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Vermillion, SD.

North Dakota State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The North Dakota State vs. South Dakota Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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North Dakota State vs. South Dakota Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Dakota State-3.5 -110O 148.5 -110-165
South Dakota +3.5 -110U 148.5 -110+140

North Dakota State vs South Dakota Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Dakota State will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Dakota State vs South Dakota Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts South Dakota will cover the spread with 57.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • North Dakota State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 away games (+9.05 Units / 49% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 28 games (+4.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • North Dakota State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • South Dakota has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • South Dakota has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • South Dakota has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 27 games (+2.55 Units / 8% ROI)
  • South Dakota has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+1.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • South Dakota have covered the Spread in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+0.90 Units / 27% ROI)

North Dakota State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Dakota State has a 11-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.5 Units / -19.2% ROI).

  • 12-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 7.09% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 2.79% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Under for -3.35 Units / -11.73% ROI

South Dakota Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Dakota has a 13-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 8-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -26.03% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI

North Dakota State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota State has a TS% of 50% this season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

North Dakota State has averaged 1.31 points per shot (1,920 points/1,461 shots) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

North Dakota State has an eFG% of 55% this season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

North Dakota State has an eFG% of 55% this season — 2nd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 52%

South Dakota Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Dakota is shooting 38% from three (465/1,226) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

South Dakota is shooting 37% from three (190/519) this season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

South Dakota has averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (310 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 42nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

South Dakota has 18.5 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 19.1

North Dakota State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota State has averaged 4.2 steals per game (245 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

North Dakota State has averaged 25.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,496 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.2

North Dakota State has averaged 25.0 defensive rebounds per game (625 rebounds/25 games) this season — 4th best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.5

North Dakota State has averaged 4.6 steals per game (115 steals/25 games) this season — 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

South Dakota Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Dakota has averaged 3.8 steals per game (90 steals/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

South Dakota has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (635 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

South Dakota has averaged 24.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,367 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.2

South Dakota has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (635 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.