Northern Arizona vs Sacramento State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 15

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  • Northern Arizona is a -3.5 point favorite vs Sacramento State
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Northern Arizona / Sacramento State TV channel: ESPN+

The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks visit The Nest to take on the Sacramento State Hornets on Feb. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA, USA.

Northern Arizona is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Northern Arizona vs. Sacramento State Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Northern Arizona vs. Sacramento State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northern Arizona-3.5 -110O 138.5 -110-175
Sacramento State +3.5 -110U 138.5 -110+145

Northern Arizona vs Sacramento State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northern Arizona will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northern Arizona vs Sacramento State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Northern Arizona will cover the spread with 61.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northern Arizona has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Northern Arizona has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Northern Arizona has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 games (+2.30 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Northern Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+3.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Sacramento State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Sacramento State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)

Northern Arizona Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Arizona has a 11-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.05 Units / -4.35% ROI).

  • 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 2.17% ROI
  • 15-7 when betting the Over for +7.3 Units / 30.29% ROI
  • 7-15 when betting the Under for -9.6 Units / -39.51% ROI

Sacramento State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sacramento State has a 9-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.2 Units / -18.14% ROI).

  • 3-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -57.58% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting the Over for -6.35 Units / -27.43% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting the Under for +4.2 Units / 18.22% ROI

Northern Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Arizona has averaged 9.7 turnovers per game (253 turnovers/26 games) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Northern Arizona averaged 68.6 points per game (2,194 points/32 games) last season — tied for 35th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Northern Arizona averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (231 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Northern Arizona averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (231 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Sacramento State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State had 337 offensive rebounds last season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State has 323 turnovers this season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State averaged 67.6 points per game (2,096 points/31 games) last season — 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Sacramento State has averaged 67.3 points per game (3,768 points/56 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Northern Arizona Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Arizona allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (198/622) last season — best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Northern Arizona averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (704 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Northern Arizona has averaged 25.5 defensive rebounds per game (663 rebounds/26 games) this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.4

Northern Arizona averaged 5.5 steals per game (177 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 45th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Sacramento State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State averaged 5.1 steals per game (158 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Sacramento State has averaged 23.8 defensive rebounds per game (594 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.4

Sacramento State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (308 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 18th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Sacramento State forced 9.9 turnovers per game (307 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.