Northern Iowa vs Illinois State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

(AP Photo)
  • Northern Iowa (13-13) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Illinois State (12-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
  • Northern Iowa / Illinois State TV channel: ESPN+

The Northern Iowa Panthers (13-13) visit CEFCU Arena to take on the Illinois State Redbirds (12-14) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Normal, IL.

Northern Iowa is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Northern Iowa vs. Illinois State Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

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Northern Iowa vs. Illinois State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northern Iowa-1.5 -110O 132.5 -105-120
Illinois State +1.5 -110U 132.5 -115+100

Northern Iowa vs Illinois State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northern Iowa will win this college basketball game with 54.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northern Iowa vs Illinois State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois State will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northern Iowa has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 away games (+1.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 15 away games (+1.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 29 games (+4.60 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+3.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+3.30 Units / 19% ROI)

Northern Iowa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Iowa has a 13-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.3 Units / -4.56% ROI).

  • 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -3.38% ROI
  • 11-15 when betting the Over for -5.55 Units / -19.41% ROI
  • 15-11 when betting the Under for +2.85 Units / 9.97% ROI

Illinois State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois State has a 12-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.35 Units / -11.73% ROI).

  • 12-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 10.73% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Over for -4.3 Units / -15.09% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 6.62% ROI

Northern Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Iowa has averaged 7.7 offensive rebounds per game (429 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Northern Iowa has averaged 72.5 points per game (1,741 points/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 73.4

Northern Iowa has averaged 7.8 offensive rebounds per game (186 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 35th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Northern Iowa has averaged 71.2 points per game (3,985 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.4

Illinois State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State is shooting 28% from three (141/508) this season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois State has averaged 66.0 points per game (3,697 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Illinois State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (628 assists/ 744 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Illinois State has averaged 65.4 points per game (1,570 points/24 games) this season — 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Northern Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Iowa has averaged 6.1 steals per game (147 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Northern Iowa has allowed 8.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 15th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Northern Iowa has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (188/550) this season — tied for 4th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Northern Iowa has allowed 70.3 points per game (3,939 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 69.4

Illinois State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (324 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Illinois State has allowed 67.5 points per game (1,621 points/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 70.3

Illinois State has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (1,621 points/1,316 shots) this season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Illinois State has forced 11.3 turnovers per game (635 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.