Northern Kentucky vs Detroit Mercy Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 13

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Detroit Mercy head coach Mike Davis reacts after a foul call during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against YOungstown State in the quarterfinals of the Horizon League tournament Thursday, March 2, 2023, in Youngstown, Ohio.
(AP Photo/David Dermer)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 13, 2024, 10:17 AM
  • Northern Kentucky (9-6) is a -10.5 point favorite vs Detroit Mercy (3-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • Northern Kentucky / Detroit Mercy TV channel: ESPN+

The Northern Kentucky Norse (9-6) visit Calihan Hall to take on the Detroit Mercy Titans (3-14) on Jan. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Detroit, MI.

Northern Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Northern Kentucky vs. Detroit Mercy Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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Northern Kentucky vs. Detroit Mercy Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northern Kentucky-10.5 -110O 136.5 -110-550
Detroit Mercy +10.5 -110U 136.5 -110+400

Northern Kentucky vs Detroit Mercy Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northern Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 83.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northern Kentucky vs Detroit Mercy Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Detroit Mercy will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northern Kentucky have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Northern Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Northern Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Northern Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.00 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Northern Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 21 away games (+1.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.70 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.20 Units / 12% ROI)

Northern Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Kentucky has a 9-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / 0% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting the Over for +2.4 Units / 0% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting the Under for -3.9 Units / 0% ROI

Detroit Mercy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Detroit Mercy has a 2-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-13.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.25 Units / 0% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.9 Units / 0% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / 0% ROI

Northern Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Kentucky is shooting 45% (445/981) this season — 5th best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 45%

Northern Kentucky has a 38% free throw rate (369 free throw attempts/981 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 31%

Northern Kentucky has averaged 12.4 turnovers per game (211 turnovers/17 games) this season — 4th highest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Northern Kentucky has averaged 1.27 points per shot (1,242 points/981 shots) this season — tied for 3rd best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Detroit Mercy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Detroit Mercy has averaged 1.06 points per shot (1,021 points/963 shots) this season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Detroit Mercy is shooting 39% (373/963) this season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 45%

Detroit Mercy is shooting 26% from three (89/347) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Detroit Mercy has a TS% of 41% this season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 48%

Northern Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Kentucky has averaged 9.3 steals per game (486 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Northern Kentucky has averaged 9.3 steals per game (486 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Northern Kentucky has averaged 21.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,096 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Northern Kentucky has 486 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Horizon Teams

Detroit Mercy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Detroit Mercy has averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,095 rebounds/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Detroit Mercy has averaged 20.7 defensive rebounds per game (352 rebounds/17 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.6

Detroit Mercy has averaged 6.2 steals per game (311 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Detroit Mercy has allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (146/374) this season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.