Northwestern vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 26

Illinois coach Brad Underwood watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Michigan State, Friday, Jan. 13, 2023, in Champaign, Ill.
(AP Photo/Michael Allio)
  • Illinois is a -7.5 point favorite vs Northwestern
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Northwestern / Illinois TV channel: BTN

The Northwestern Wildcats visit State Farm Center to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini on Jan. 26. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Champaign, IL, USA.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-118).

The Northwestern vs. Illinois Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Northwestern vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northwestern+7.5 -102O 149.5 -110+290
Illinois -7.5 -118U 149.5 -110-375

Northwestern vs Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northwestern vs Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games (+4.30 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 37 games (+17.70 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 38 games (+3.55 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 38 games (+1.81 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games (+1.55 Units / 0% ROI)

Northwestern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern has a 10-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI).

  • 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.1 Units / 1.6% ROI
  • 13-6 when betting the Over for +6.4 Units / 30.62% ROI
  • 6-13 when betting the Under for -8.3 Units / -39.71% ROI

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 8-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.45 Units / -20.94% ROI).

  • 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.95 Units / -2.7% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting the Over for +1.2 Units / 5.74% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting the Under for -3 Units / -14.35% ROI

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has averaged 8.0 turnovers per game (249 turnovers/31 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 10.9

Northwestern shot 39% from three (260/671) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Northwestern has a 31% free throw rate (918 free throw attempts/2,975 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Northwestern averaged 9.1 turnovers per game (290 turnovers/32 games) last season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has 605 defensive rebounds this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Illinois has averaged 82.5 points per game (1,733 points/21 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 72.2

Illinois has 605 defensive rebounds this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Illinois has attempted 588 threes this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern averaged 23.0 defensive rebounds per game (736 rebounds/32 games) last season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Northwestern has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,187 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Northwestern averaged 7.2 steals per game (229 steals/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Northwestern has averaged 8.1 steals per game (154 steals/19 games) this season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 31.8 defensive rebounds per game (605 rebounds/19 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Illinois has averaged 31.8 defensive rebounds per game (605 rebounds/19 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Illinois has forced 7.9 turnovers per game (166 turnovers/21 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.1

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.06 points per shot (1,315 points/1,238 shots) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.19


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