Penn State vs Nebraska Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 05, 2023, 9:51 AM
  • Penn State (14-8) are -4.5 point favorites vs Nebraska (10-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • Watch the game on BTN

The Penn State Nittany Lions (14-8) visit Pinnacle Bank Arena to take on the Nebraska Cornhuskers (10-13) on Feb. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Lincoln.

Penn State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Penn State vs. Nebraska Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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Penn State vs. Nebraska Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Penn State-4.5 -115O 136.5 -115-200
Nebraska +4.5 -105U 136.5 -105+165

Penn State vs Nebraska Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 61.6% confidence.

Penn State vs Nebraska Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Penn State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Penn State and Nebraska, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Penn State have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+10.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Penn State have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 26 games (+23.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+9.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 48 games (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Nebraska have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)

Penn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Penn State has gone 14-8 against the spread this college basketball season (+5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 13.44% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Under for -3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI

Nebraska Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nebraska has gone 7-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-10.65 Units / -42.01% ROI).

  • 9-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 6.81% ROI
  • 6-15 when betting the Over for -10.5 Units / -41.5% ROI
  • 15-6 when betting the Under for +8.4 Units / 33.2% ROI

Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has made 236 three-pointers this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State has made 136 three-pointers in the first half this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State has averaged 8.6 turnovers per game (190 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 12.2

Penn State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (323 assists/ 190 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nebraska is shooting 63% from the free throw line (220/347) this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%

Nebraska is shooting 58% from the free throw line (69/119) in the first half this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 69%

Nebraska is shooting 31% from three (168/542) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Nebraska is shooting 31% from three (154/494) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has averaged 5.0 steals per game (111 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Penn State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (168 steals/30 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Penn State has averaged 4.7 steals per game (107 steals/23 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.5

Penn State has averaged 5.2 steals per game (275 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.9

Nebraska Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nebraska has allowed 78.5 points per game (1,883 points/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 71.7

Nebraska has allowed 74.4 points per game (4,090 points/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 67.6

Nebraska has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (1,577 points/1,376 shots) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Nebraska has allowed 71.2 points per game (2,207 points/31 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 64.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.