Pittsburgh vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 8

North Carolina head coach Hubert Davis directs his team against Boston College during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Tuesday, Jan. 17, 2023, in Chapel Hill, N.C.
(AP Photo/Chris Seward)
  • North Carolina is a -4.5 point favorite vs Pittsburgh
  • Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
  • Pittsburgh / North Carolina TV channel: ESPNU

The Pittsburgh Panthers visit Dean Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels on Feb. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Chapel Hill, NC, USA.

North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Pittsburgh vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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Pittsburgh vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Pittsburgh+4.5 -105O 151.5 -105+165
North Carolina -4.5 -115U 151.5 -115-200

Pittsburgh vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 69.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Pittsburgh vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 65.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Pittsburgh have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+4.15 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 32 games (+3.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+3.76 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 games (+4.90 Units / 1% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+2.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 37 games (+2.64 Units / 6% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+0.90 Units / 3% ROI)

Pittsburgh Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Pittsburgh has a 12-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1 Units / 4.15% ROI).

  • 15-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -0.62% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 4.55% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Under for -3.15 Units / -12.99% ROI

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 7-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.5 Units / -37.48% ROI).

  • 13-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -0.6% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Over for -2.15 Units / -8.51% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -0.39% ROI

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (159 assists/ 81 TOs) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Pittsburgh has averaged 3.7 turnovers per game (81 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.3

Pittsburgh is shooting 81% from the free throw line (138/170) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Pittsburgh averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (287 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has averaged 86.1 points per game (3,014 points/35 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 76.7

North Carolina averaged 82.9 points per game (2,903 points/35 games) last season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

North Carolina averaged 12.6 offensive rebounds per game (441 rebounds/35 games) last season — 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

North Carolina is shooting 47% (663/1,413) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh has averaged 7.1 steals per game (234 steals/33 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Pittsburgh allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (216/691) last season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Pittsburgh has averaged 7.3 steals per game (161 steals/22 games) this season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Pittsburgh allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (119/385) in the first half last season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (149/503) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 41% (891/2,158) last season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 40% (425/1,062) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%


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