Pittsburgh vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 11

SMU guard Boopie Miller dribbles against Alabama State guard Shawn Fulcher during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game, Tuesday, Dec. 3, 2024, in Dallas. (AP Photo/LM Otero)
(AP Photo/LM Otero)
  • SMU is a -4.5 point favorite vs Pittsburgh
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Pittsburgh / SMU TV channel: ACCN

The Pittsburgh Panthers visit Moody Coliseum to take on the SMU Mustangs on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Dallas, TX, USA.

SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Pittsburgh vs. SMU Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Pittsburgh vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Pittsburgh+4.5 -110O 149.5 -115+155
SMU -4.5 -110U 149.5 -105-190

Pittsburgh vs SMU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 65.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Pittsburgh vs SMU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 64.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Pittsburgh have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+3.15 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 33 games (+2.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+3.60 Units / 0% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+2.03 Units / 9% ROI)

Pittsburgh Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Pittsburgh has a 13-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2 Units / 7.94% ROI).

  • 15-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -1.05% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Under for -2.15 Units / -8.48% ROI

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has a 12-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.05 Units / -0.2% ROI).

  • 17-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 0.49% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 15.78% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Under for -6.45 Units / -25.54% ROI

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (383 assists/ 213 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Pittsburgh has averaged 3.7 turnovers per game (84 turnovers/23 games) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.3

Pittsburgh has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (167 assists/ 84 TOs) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Pittsburgh has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (512 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

SMU has averaged 82.8 points per game (1,904 points/23 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74.8

SMU is shooting 39% from three (190/489) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

SMU has averaged 39.5 points per game (908 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35.3

Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh has averaged 7.2 steals per game (166 steals/23 games) this season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Pittsburgh has averaged 6.7 steals per game (370 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Pittsburgh has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (232/758) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Pittsburgh has averaged 7.1 steals per game (234 steals/33 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU averaged 8.2 steals per game (264 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

SMU has averaged 8.0 steals per game (442 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (478/1,200) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 45%

SMU has averaged 7.7 steals per game (178 steals/23 games) this season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4


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