Providence vs Butler Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 8

Butler head coach Thad Matta argues a call from the sideline during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Xavier, Saturday, March 4, 2023, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
(AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
  • Butler is a -4.5 point favorite vs Providence
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Providence / Butler TV channel: PEAC

The Providence Friars visit Hinkle Fieldhouse to take on the Butler Bulldogs on Feb. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Indianapolis, IN, USA.

Butler is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Providence vs. Butler Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Providence vs. Butler Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Providence+4.5 -115O 144.5 -105+154
Butler -4.5 -105U 144.5 -115-190

Providence vs Butler Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Butler will win this college basketball game with 69.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Providence vs Butler Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Butler will cover the spread with 66.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Providence has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.06 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 away games (+4.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Providence have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games (+2.65 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+4.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+3.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+2.81 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Butler have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 33 games (+1.10 Units / 3% ROI)

Providence Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Providence has a 12-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI).

  • 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 0.51% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting the Over for +2.05 Units / 8.07% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting the Under for -4.15 Units / -16.47% ROI

Butler Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Butler has a 12-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI).

  • 10-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.65 Units / -20.36% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 12.25% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.3 Units / -20.95% ROI

Providence Offensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has made 9.1 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Providence has averaged 6.0 assists per game (139 assists/23 games) in the second half this season — lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Providence has averaged 33.0 points per game (760 points/23 games) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34.7

Providence averaged 1.26 points per shot (2,534 points/2,011 shots) last season — 4th best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Butler Offensive Stats & Trends:

Butler is shooting 79% from the free throw line (517/653) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 74%

Butler had a TS% of 50% last season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Butler shot 38% from three (132/348) in the first half last season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Butler averaged 26% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (492 free throw attempts/1,881 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Providence Defensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has averaged 4.9 steals per game (112 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Providence has averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,563 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Providence has averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (622 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Providence averaged 6.4 steals per game (225 steals/35 games) last season — 4th best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Butler Defensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has averaged 3.7 steals per game (84 steals/23 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.0

Butler has averaged 3.7 steals per game (84 steals/23 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Butler has forced 7.1 turnovers per game (120 turnovers/17 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.4

Butler has forced 7.6 turnovers per game (174 turnovers/23 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1


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