Providence vs Marquette Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

AP Photos
  • Marquette (16-10) is a -11.5 point favorite vs Providence (16-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Providence / Marquette TV channel: FS1

The Providence Friars (16-10) visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Marquette Golden Eagles (16-10) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI.

Marquette is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Providence vs. Marquette Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Providence vs. Marquette Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Providence+11.5 -110O 150.5 -115+525
Marquette -11.5 -110U 150.5 -105-750

Providence vs Marquette Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Marquette will win this college basketball game with 84.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Providence vs Marquette Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Marquette will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Providence has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+4.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Providence have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+1.65 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Marquette has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Marquette has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 28 games (+6.60 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Marquette have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Marquette has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+4.80 Units / 2% ROI)

Providence Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Providence has a 18-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+8.1 Units / 27.23% ROI).

  • 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.75 Units / 6.04% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -11.43% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Under for +0.85 Units / 2.87% ROI

Marquette Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Marquette has a 16-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5 Units / 16.84% ROI).

  • 15-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 1.84% ROI
  • 10-17 when betting the Over for -8.7 Units / -29.24% ROI
  • 17-10 when betting the Under for +6.05 Units / 20.4% ROI

Providence Offensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has a 35% free throw rate (1,171 free throw attempts/3,360 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 31%

Providence is shooting 46% (1,528/3,360) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 45%

Providence has a 38% free throw rate (759 free throw attempts/2,012 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 33%

Providence has made 190 three-pointers this season — 5th most among Big East Teams

Marquette Offensive Stats & Trends:

Marquette has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (983 assists/ 614 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Marquette has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (983 assists/ 614 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.2

Marquette has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (360 assists/ 228 TOs) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Marquette has 16.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.9

Providence Defensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,517 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Providence has averaged 27.4 defensive rebounds per game (658 rebounds/24 games) this season — 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Providence has averaged 6.9 steals per game (234 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Providence has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (1,626 points/1,446 shots) this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Marquette Defensive Stats & Trends:

Marquette has forced 15.8 turnovers per game (917 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 12.2

Marquette has averaged 9.5 steals per game (350 steals/37 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Marquette has forced 16.6 turnovers per game (613 turnovers/37 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 12.7

Marquette has forced 14.5 turnovers per game (304 turnovers/21 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 11.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.