Providence vs UConn Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2023, 11:55 AM
  • UConn (20-7) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Providence (20-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The Providence Friars (20-7) visit Harry A. Gampel Pavilion to take on the UConn Huskies (20-7) on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Storrs.

UConn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Providence vs. UConn Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Providence vs. UConn Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Providence+7.5 -115O 142.5 -110+260
UConn -7.5 -105U 142.5 -110-350

Providence vs UConn Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UConn will win this game with 68.1% confidence.

Providence vs UConn Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UConn will cover the spread with 54.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Providence and UConn, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Providence has hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 50 games (+28.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Providence have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • UConn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 31 games (+13.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • UConn have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+8.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • UConn has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • UConn has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • UConn have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.95 Units / 13% ROI)

Providence Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Providence has gone 17-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+6 Units / 20.2% ROI).

  • 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.55 Units / 14.56% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -4.38% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -4.38% ROI

Providence Offensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (295 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

Providence has a 39% free throw rate (527 free throw attempts/1,356 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 31%

Providence has a 38% free throw rate (1,215 free throw attempts/3,215 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 31%

Providence has made 390 free throws this season — most among Big East Teams

UConn Offensive Stats & Trends:

UConn has averaged 17.3 assists per game (398 assists/23 games) this season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

UConn has averaged 12.7 offensive rebounds per game (293 rebounds/23 games) this season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

UConn has an eFG% of 53% this season — 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

UConn has attempted 313 threes in the first half this season — most among Big East Teams

Providence Defensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has averaged 27.3 defensive rebounds per game (629 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Providence has averaged 27.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,530 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Providence has averaged 5.8 steals per game (326 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Providence has averaged 7.0 steals per game (160 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.1

UConn Defensive Stats & Trends:

UConn has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (609 rebounds/23 games) this season — 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

UConn has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,497 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

UConn has averaged 6.8 steals per game (157 steals/23 games) this season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.1

UConn has averaged 6.3 steals per game (353 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.