Providence vs UConn Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 5

Man in a suit shouting with his fist in the air.
(AP Photo)
  • UConn is a -13.5 point favorite vs Providence
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Providence / UConn TV channel: NBC

The Providence Friars visit Harry A. Gampel Pavilion to take on the UConn Huskies on Jan. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Storrs, CT.

UConn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).

The Providence vs. UConn Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Providence vs. UConn Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Providence+13.5 -105O 137.5 -115+750
UConn -13.5 -115U 137.5 -105-1200

Providence vs UConn Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UConn will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Providence vs UConn Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UConn will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Providence have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 away games (+3.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games (+2.65 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 away games (+1.96 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 17 away games (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 39 games (+18.80 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 23 games at home (+18.20 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Connecticut have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 39 games (+12.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+6.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games (+5.10 Units / 12% ROI)

Providence Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Providence has a 7-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.7 Units / -4.53% ROI).

  • 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 1.16% ROI
  • 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.85 Units / -31.29% ROI
  • 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.65 Units / 23.86% ROI

UConn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UConn has a 7-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.4 Units / 2.6% ROI).

  • 11-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -0.88% ROI
  • 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 16.23% ROI
  • 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / -24.68% ROI

Providence Offensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (172 assists/ 184 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.4

Providence is shooting 43% (330/772) this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 47%

Providence has averaged 69.0 points per game (966 points/14 games) this season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 79.2

Providence has averaged 6.2 assists per game (87 assists/14 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 8.0

UConn Offensive Stats & Trends:

UConn had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (734 assists/ 376 TOs) last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

UConn had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (734 assists/ 376 TOs) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

UConn assisted on 369 field goals in the second half last season — most among Big East Teams

UConn has 502 assists in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among Big East Teams

Providence Defensive Stats & Trends:

Providence averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (941 rebounds/35 games) last season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Providence has averaged 28.1 defensive rebounds per game (393 rebounds/14 games) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.9

Providence has averaged 5.1 steals per game (71 steals/14 games) this season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Providence has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,334 rebounds/49 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.6

UConn Defensive Stats & Trends:

UConn allowed opponents to shoot 39% (873/2,215) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

UConn has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,408 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.6

UConn averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,051 rebounds/39 games) last season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

UConn has averaged 6.2 steals per game (212 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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