Providence vs Villanova Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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A team manager in a blue suit looking pensive
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2024, 12:35 PM
  • Villanova (10-11) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Providence (12-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Providence / Villanova TV channel: FS1

The Providence Friars (12-8) visit Wells Fargo Center to take on the Villanova Wildcats (10-11) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Philadelphia, PA.

Villanova is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Providence vs. Villanova Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Providence vs. Villanova Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Providence+4.5 -110O 137.5 -110+165
Villanova -4.5 -110U 137.5 -110-200

Providence vs Villanova Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Villanova will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Providence vs Villanova Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Providence will cover the spread with 55.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Providence has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Providence have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 12 away games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Villanova have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+2.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+1.95 Units / 9% ROI)

Providence Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Providence has a 14-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.3 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 13-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 4.97% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting the Over for -6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting the Under for +4.2 Units / 18.18% ROI

Villanova Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Villanova has a 10-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.15 Units / -9.29% ROI).

  • 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.65 Units / -12.29% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -9.48% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Providence Offensive Stats & Trends:

Providence is shooting 32% from three (162/504) this season — tied for 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Providence is shooting 46% (552/1,199) this season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 45%

Providence is shooting 35% from three (92/260) in the first half this season — 4th best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Providence is shooting 73% from the free throw line (545/745) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 74%

Villanova Offensive Stats & Trends:

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (759/923) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (759/923) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (466/569) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 75%

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (759/923) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 74%

Providence Defensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has averaged 27.8 defensive rebounds per game (584 rebounds/21 games) this season — 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Providence has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,443 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Providence has averaged 6.6 steals per game (139 steals/21 games) this season — 4th best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Providence has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (503/1,263) this season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Villanova Defensive Stats & Trends:

Villanova has allowed 65.1 points per game (976 points/15 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.2

Villanova has averaged 5.2 steals per game (109 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Villanova has averaged 5.5 steals per game (303 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Villanova has allowed 65.2 points per game (1,370 points/21 games) this season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.