Purdue vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 25, 2024, 10:41 AM
  • Purdue (15-10) is a -13.5 point favorite vs Michigan (7-20)
  • Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
  • Purdue / Michigan TV channel: CBS

The Purdue Boilermakers (15-10) visit Crisler Center to take on the Michigan Wolverines (7-20) on Feb. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Ann Arbor, MI.

Purdue is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Purdue vs. Michigan Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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Purdue vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Purdue-13.5 -110O 151.5 -105-1200
Michigan +13.5 -110U 151.5 -115+750

Purdue vs Michigan Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Purdue will win this college basketball game with 89.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Purdue vs Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 28 games (+11.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.15 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+5.35 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.05 Units / 8% ROI)

Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue has a 16-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5 Units / 16.84% ROI).

  • 19-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.75 Units / 6.17% ROI
  • 18-9 when betting the Over for +8.1 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • 9-18 when betting the Under for -10.8 Units / -36.36% ROI

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has a 7-20 record against the spread this college basketball season (-15 Units / -50.59% ROI).

  • 7-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.9 Units / -45.96% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 6.05% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Under for -4.45 Units / -15.01% ROI

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue has averaged 18.6 assists per game (428 assists/23 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Purdue has averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,963 points/1,366 shots) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.28

Purdue has averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,963 points/1,366 shots) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Purdue has averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,963 points/1,366 shots) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 12.8 turnovers per game (281 turnovers/22 games) this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.1

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (402 assists/ 369 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (285 assists/ 281 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (146 assists/ 160 TOs) in the first half this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (1,630 points/1,465 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Purdue has averaged 29.3 defensive rebounds per game (674 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (3,806 points/3,487 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.00 points per shot (1,701 points/1,694 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.10

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 3.9 steals per game (86 steals/22 games) this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Michigan has averaged 3.9 steals per game (86 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Michigan has averaged 3.9 steals per game (130 steals/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Michigan has averaged 4.4 steals per game (244 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.