Purdue vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 14

Michigan center Danny Wolf (1) reacts during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Arkansas, Tuesday, Dec. 10, 2024, in New York. Arkansas won 89-87. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)
(AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)
  • Purdue is a -2.5 point favorite vs Michigan
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Purdue / Michigan TV channel: BTN

The Purdue Boilermakers visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Michigan Wolverines on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN, IN, USA.

Purdue is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Purdue vs. Michigan Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Purdue vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Purdue-2.5 -110O 147.5 -115-145
Michigan +2.5 -110U 147.5 -105+118

Purdue vs Michigan Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Purdue will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Purdue vs Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+12.86 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 38 games (+8.45 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 39 games (+3.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 39 games (+1.20 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 39 games (+0.60 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 games (+8.45 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.05 Units / 16% ROI)

Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue has a 17-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI).

  • 22-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 2.97% ROI
  • 19-13 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 13.31% ROI
  • 13-19 when betting the Under for -7.8 Units / -22.22% ROI

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has a 12-19 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.05 Units / -26.42% ROI).

  • 21-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 1.35% ROI
  • 16-15 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -1.75% ROI
  • 15-16 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -7.37% ROI

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue shot 41% from three (303/743) last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Purdue shot 41% from three (303/743) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Purdue has averaged 1.41 points per shot (5,474 points/3,888 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Purdue averaged 18.6 assists per game (690 assists/37 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 14.4 turnovers per game (446 turnovers/31 games) this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Michigan has averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (827 turnovers/60 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Michigan has averaged 14.4 turnovers per game (446 turnovers/31 games) this season — 2nd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (492 assists/ 446 TOs) this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue forced 8.7 turnovers per game (244 turnovers/28 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.3

Purdue allowed an average of 1.04 points per shot (1,181 points/1,135 shots) in the first half last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.15

Purdue allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (2,556 points/2,309 shots) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Purdue forced 9.4 turnovers per game (346 turnovers/37 games) last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 4.9 steals per game (294 steals/60 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Michigan averaged 4.0 steals per game (117 steals/29 games) last season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Michigan has averaged 5.7 steals per game (177 steals/31 games) this season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Michigan has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (795/1,942) this season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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