Rutgers vs Purdue Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

In this photo taken on Tuesday, Feb. 16, 2021, Purdue plays against Michigan State at Mackey Arena during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in West Lafayette, Ind. Mackey Arena is one of six venues hosting NCAA Tournament games later this week.
(AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
  • Purdue is a -10.5 point favorite vs Rutgers
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Rutgers / Purdue TV channel: PEAC

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights visit Mackey Arena to take on the Purdue Boilermakers on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in West Lafayette, IN, USA.

Purdue is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Rutgers vs. Purdue Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Rutgers vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rutgers+10.5 -110O 152.5 -110+425
Purdue -10.5 -110U 152.5 -110-600

Rutgers vs Purdue Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Purdue will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Rutgers vs Purdue Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 51.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Rutgers has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.31 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 games (+10.56 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 25 games at home (+10.15 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 38 games (+4.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games (+3.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 38 games (+1.70 Units / 4% ROI)

Rutgers Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Rutgers has a 13-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.4 Units / -10.71% ROI).

  • 14-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 0.65% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 8.78% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Under for -5.6 Units / -17.55% ROI

Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue has a 16-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.7 Units / 5.34% ROI).

  • 20-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 2.64% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 11.88% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Under for -6.6 Units / -20.75% ROI

Rutgers Offensive Stats & Trends:

Rutgers averaged 1.09 points per shot (1,976 points/1,819 shots) last season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Rutgers shot 39% (709/1,819) last season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Rutgers is shooting 44% (384/880) in the second half this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Rutgers has averaged 1.22 points per shot (2,167 points/1,776 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.37

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue averaged 1.42 points per shot (3,048 points/2,145 shots) last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Purdue shot 41% from three (303/743) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Purdue has averaged 1.41 points per shot (5,294 points/3,759 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Purdue is shooting 49% (1,848/3,759) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 46%

Rutgers Defensive Stats & Trends:

Rutgers has averaged 7.3 steals per game (433 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Rutgers forced 14.9 turnovers per game (448 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Rutgers has 433 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th most among Big 10 Teams

Rutgers stole the ball 228 times last season — 4th most among Big 10 Teams

Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (2,556 points/2,309 shots) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Purdue forced 8.7 turnovers per game (244 turnovers/28 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.3

Purdue has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (209/687) this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Purdue allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (2,556 points/2,309 shots) last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.22


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