Sacramento State vs Air Force Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 27

Air Force head coach Joe Scott reacts in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against New Mexico in Albuquerque, N.M., Friday, Jan. 27, 2023.
(AP Photo/Eric Draper)
  • Air Force is a -7.5 point favorite vs Sacramento State
  • Total (Over/Under): 129.5 points
  • Sacramento State / Air Force TV channel: ESPN+

The Sacramento State Hornets visit Clune Arena to take on the Air Force Falcons on Nov. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Colorado Springs, CO.

Air Force is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Sacramento State vs. Air Force Over/Under is 129.5 total points.

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Sacramento State vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Sacramento State+7.5 -110O 129.5 -105+260
Air Force -7.5 -110U 129.5 -115-350

Sacramento State vs Air Force Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Air Force will win this college basketball game with 76.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Sacramento State vs Air Force Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Sacramento State will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Sacramento State has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Sacramento State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.35 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.35 Units / 7% ROI)

Sacramento State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sacramento State has a 3-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • 0-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -100% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Air Force has a 2-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.85 Units / -81.74% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Sacramento State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State had 337 offensive rebounds last season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State averaged 10.9 offensive rebounds per game (337 rebounds/31 games) last season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Sacramento State averaged 13.9 turnovers per game (432 turnovers/31 games) last season — 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Sacramento State averaged 67.6 points per game (2,096 points/31 games) last season — 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force made 8.7 three-pointers per game last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Air Force averaged 7.4 offensive rebounds per game (216 rebounds/29 games) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.7

Air Force had a TS% of 49% last season — tied for 3rd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 48%

Air Force shot 35% from three (251/707) last season — 3rd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%

Sacramento State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State averaged 5.1 steals per game (158 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Sacramento State forced 9.9 turnovers per game (307 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Sacramento State allowed 71.1 points per game (2,203 points/31 games) last season — 5th highest among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 72.5

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (2,082 points/1,520 shots) last season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Air Force averaged 21.2 defensive rebounds per game (614 rebounds/29 games) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.0

Air Force allowed opponents to shoot 47% (719/1,520) last season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

Air Force averaged 6.5 steals per game (189 steals/29 games) last season — 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.5


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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.