Sacramento State vs California Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 24

California forward Grant Newell (14) looks down the court against UCLA during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Saturday, Feb. 18, 2023, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Allison Dinner)
(AP Photo/Allison Dinner)
  • California is a -16.5 point favorite vs Sacramento State
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Sacramento State / California TV channel: ESPN+

The Sacramento State Hornets visit Haas Pavilion to take on the California Golden Bears on Nov. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Berkeley, CA.

California is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (+100).

The Sacramento State vs. California Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Sacramento State vs. California Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Sacramento State+16.5 -120O 139.5 -105+950
California -16.5 +100U 139.5 -115-2000

Sacramento State vs California Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts California will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Sacramento State vs California Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts California will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Sacramento State has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Sacramento State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.35 Units / 7% ROI)
  • California has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • California has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 games (+4.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • California has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)

Sacramento State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sacramento State has a 2-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

California Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

California has a 2-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI).

  • 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.85 Units / 13.29% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Sacramento State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State had 337 offensive rebounds last season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State averaged 10.9 offensive rebounds per game (337 rebounds/31 games) last season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Sacramento State averaged 13.9 turnovers per game (432 turnovers/31 games) last season — 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Sacramento State averaged 67.6 points per game (2,096 points/31 games) last season — 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

California Offensive Stats & Trends:

California averaged 1.20 points per shot (2,200 points/1,838 shots) last season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

California averaged 11.2 assists per game (145 assists/13 games) last season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 14.9

California averaged 34.8 points per game (452 points/13 games) in the second half last season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 40.0

California shot 43% (148/345) in the second half last season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Sacramento State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State averaged 5.1 steals per game (158 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Sacramento State forced 9.9 turnovers per game (307 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Sacramento State allowed 71.1 points per game (2,203 points/31 games) last season — 5th highest among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 72.5

California Defensive Stats & Trends:

California averaged 5.5 steals per game (72 steals/13 games) last season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

California forced 10.5 turnovers per game (137 turnovers/13 games) last season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 12.7

California allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (59/155) in the first half last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

California allowed an average of 1.29 points per shot (969 points/753 shots) last season — highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.17


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.