Sacramento State vs Montana State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 12

Montana State guard Robert Ford III (20) goes past Kansas State guard Cam Carter (5) to score during the first half of a first-round college basketball game in the NCAA Tournament on Friday, March 17, 2023, in Greensboro, N.C. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)
(AP Photo/John Bazemore)
  • Montana State (15-14) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Sacramento State (14-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
  • Sacramento State / Montana State TV channel: ESPNU

The Sacramento State Hornets (14-17) visit Idaho Central Arena to take on the Montana State Bobcats (15-14) on Mar. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Boise, ID.

Montana State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Sacramento State vs. Montana State Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

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Sacramento State vs. Montana State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Sacramento State+5.5 -110O 134.5 -115+200
Montana State -5.5 -110U 134.5 -105-250

Sacramento State vs Montana State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Montana State will win this college basketball game with 67.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Sacramento State vs Montana State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Montana State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Sacramento State has hit the Moneyline in their last 3 away games (+10.70 Units / 357% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+7.60 Units / 108% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Sacramento State have covered the Spread in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Team Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Montana State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Montana State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.65 Units / 26% ROI)

Sacramento State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sacramento State has a 14-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.65 Units / -13.66% ROI).

  • 8-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -15.54% ROI
  • 13-18 when betting the Over for -6.8 Units / -19.94% ROI
  • 18-13 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI

Montana State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Montana State has a 15-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.45 Units / -1.4% ROI).

  • 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -11.75% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -1.25% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI

Sacramento State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has averaged 10.2 offensive rebounds per game (561 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Sacramento State has averaged 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (256 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Sacramento State has 256 offensive rebounds this season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State has 561 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big Sky Teams

Montana State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Montana State has averaged 6.2 offensive rebounds per game (148 rebounds/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Montana State has attempted 587 threes this season — most among Big Sky Teams

Montana State has attempted 1,223 free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big Sky Teams

Montana State has a 38% free throw rate (1,223 free throw attempts/3,258 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 32%

Sacramento State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has averaged 4.5 steals per game (103 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Sacramento State has averaged 23.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,309 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.3

Sacramento State has forced 9.1 turnovers per game (210 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Sacramento State has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (3,792 points/3,079 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 1.27

Montana State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Montana State has 204 steals this season — most among Big Sky Teams

Montana State has averaged 8.5 steals per game (204 steals/24 games) this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Montana State has averaged 22.3 defensive rebounds per game (536 rebounds/24 games) this season — 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Montana State has 433 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big Sky Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.