Saint Peter’s vs UMBC Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 16

UMBC head coach Jim Ferry calls out to players during the first half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Maryland Thursday, Dec. 29, 2022, in College Park, Md. Maryland won 80-64. (AP Photo/Jess Rapfogel)
(AP Photo/Jess Rapfogel)
  • Saint Peter’s is a -1.5 point favorite vs UMBC
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Saint Peter’s / UMBC TV channel: ESPN+

The Saint Peter’s Peacocks visit Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena to take on the UMBC Retrievers on Nov. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Baltimore, MD.

Saint Peter’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Saint Peter’s vs. UMBC Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Saint Peter’s vs. UMBC Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Saint Peter’s-1.5 +105O 146.5 -110-110
UMBC +1.5 -125U 146.5 -110-110

Saint Peter’s vs UMBC Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Saint Peter’s will win this college basketball game with 78.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Saint Peter’s vs UMBC Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UMBC will cover the spread with 51.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Saint Peter’s have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Saint Peter’s has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Saint Peter’s has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 away games (+3.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Saint Peter’s has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 20 away games (+1.28 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Saint Peter’s has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 32 games (+0.55 Units / 2% ROI)
  • UMBC has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • UMBC have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • UMBC has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.51 Units / 16% ROI)
  • UMBC have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • UMBC has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)

Saint Peter’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Saint Peter’s has a 3-0 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -100% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI

UMBC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMBC has a 1-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Saint Peter’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Peter’s shot 43% from inside the arc (422/976) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Saint Peter’s made 5.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Saint Peter’s averaged 11.6 turnovers per game (371 turnovers/32 games) last season — 4th best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Saint Peter’s averaged 64.7 points per game (2,071 points/32 games) last season — 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

UMBC Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC shot 35% from three (246/692) last season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 33%

UMBC averaged 25% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (490 free throw attempts/1,988 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

UMBC shot 47% (928/1,988) last season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

UMBC averaged 78.8 points per game (2,443 points/31 games) last season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Saint Peter’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Peter’s averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (705 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Saint Peter’s stole the ball 228 times last season — 4th most among MAAC Teams

Saint Peter’s averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (705 rebounds/32 games) last season — 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.9

Saint Peter’s allowed 64.2 points per game (2,053 points/32 games) last season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

UMBC Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC averaged 5.2 steals per game (162 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

UMBC allowed 80.9 points per game (2,508 points/31 games) last season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

UMBC averaged 25.9 defensive rebounds per game (804 rebounds/31 games) last season — 5th lowest among America East Teams; League Avg: 25.7

UMBC allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (235/745) last season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%


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