San Francisco vs Gonzaga Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 11

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 11, 2024, 10:55 AM
  • Gonzaga (14-15) is a -8.5 point favorite vs San Francisco (18-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • San Francisco / Gonzaga TV channel: ESPN2

The San Francisco Dons (18-13) visit Orleans Arena to take on the Gonzaga Bulldogs (14-15) on Mar. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 11:30pm EDT in Paradise, NV.

Gonzaga is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The San Francisco vs. Gonzaga Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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San Francisco vs. Gonzaga Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Francisco+8.5 -110O 149.5 -115+333
Gonzaga -8.5 -110U 149.5 -105-450

San Francisco vs Gonzaga Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Gonzaga will win this college basketball game with 80.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

San Francisco vs Gonzaga Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts San Francisco will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • San Francisco has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 29 games (+12.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • San Francisco has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • San Francisco has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • San Francisco have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • San Francisco has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Gonzaga has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+6.75 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Gonzaga has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Gonzaga has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+1.55 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Gonzaga has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+1.05 Units / 1% ROI)

San Francisco Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Francisco has a 19-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.8 Units / 16.98% ROI).

  • 19-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.6 Units / 6.09% ROI
  • 16-15 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -1.46% ROI
  • 15-16 when betting the Under for -2.55 Units / -7.49% ROI

Gonzaga Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Gonzaga has a 13-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.6 Units / -14.4% ROI).

  • 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -0.92% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -1.25% ROI

San Francisco Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Francisco has a TS% of 53% this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

San Francisco has averaged 79.4 points per game (1,905 points/24 games) this season — 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

San Francisco has 14.7 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

San Francisco has averaged 13.2 turnovers per game (763 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 18th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Gonzaga Offensive Stats & Trends:

Gonzaga is shooting 52% (1,895/3,677) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 46%

Gonzaga has averaged 85.7 points per game (5,054 points/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 76.0

Gonzaga is shooting 52% (1,895/3,677) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Gonzaga has averaged 85.7 points per game (5,054 points/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

San Francisco Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Francisco has 210 steals this season — most among West Coast Conference Teams

San Francisco has averaged 8.8 steals per game (210 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

San Francisco has averaged 8.8 steals per game (210 steals/24 games) this season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 6.1

San Francisco has averaged 7.6 steals per game (438 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Gonzaga Defensive Stats & Trends:

Gonzaga has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (31/114) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

Gonzaga has averaged 27.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,645 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Gonzaga has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (1,482 points/1,376 shots) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Gonzaga has 161 steals this season — 4th most among West Coast Conference Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.