- Cincinnati (19-11) is a -11.5 point favorite vs SMU (10-20)
- Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN+
The SMU Mustangs (10-20) visit Fifth Third Arena to take on the Cincinnati Bearcats (19-11) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Cincinnati.
Cincinnati is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).
The SMU vs. Cincinnati Over/Under is 146.5 total points.
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SMU vs. Cincinnati Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
SMU | +11.5 -105 | O 146.5 -115 | +525 |
Cincinnati | -11.5 -115 | U 146.5 -105 | -750 |
SMU vs Cincinnati Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Cincinnati will win this game with 73.1% confidence.
SMU vs Cincinnati Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Cincinnati will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both SMU and Cincinnati, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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SMU Basketball Best Bets Today:
- SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+9.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+3.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- SMU have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.90 Units / 44% ROI)
Cincinnati Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Cincinnati has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+14.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Cincinnati have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+5.05 Units / 18% ROI)
SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
SMU has gone 11-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.6 Units / 0% ROI).
- 9-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.05 Units / -16.77% ROI
- 19-11 when betting the Over for +6.9 Units / 20.91% ROI
- 11-19 when betting the Under for -9.9 Units / -30% ROI
Cincinnati Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Cincinnati has gone 19-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+8 Units / 25.04% ROI).
- 16-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -0.94% ROI
- 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.65 Units / 2.03% ROI
- 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -10.99% ROI
SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:
SMU has averaged 1.16 points per shot (1,591 points/1,374 shots) this season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
SMU is shooting 42% (573/1,374) this season — tied for 19th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
SMU is shooting 31% from three (151/484) this season — 2nd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%
SMU has an eFG% of 47% this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends:
Cincinnati has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (362 assists/ 245 TOs) this season — tied for best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Cincinnati has made 207 three-pointers this season — most among AAC Teams
Cincinnati has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (362 assists/ 245 TOs) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Cincinnati has averaged 10.7 turnovers per game (245 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5
SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:
SMU has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,520 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
SMU has 151 steals this season — 5th most among AAC Teams
SMU has 358 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th most among AAC Teams
SMU has averaged 6.4 steals per game (358 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0
Cincinnati Defensive Stats & Trends:
Cincinnati has averaged 26.3 defensive rebounds per game (605 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Cincinnati has averaged 6.0 steals per game (139 steals/23 games) this season — 4th lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Cincinnati has averaged 6.2 steals per game (348 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0
Cincinnati has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (566/1,349) this season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%
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