SMU vs Notre Dame Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 19

FILE - Notre Dame guard Markus Burton (3) drives against Wake Forest guard Kevin Miller (0) during the first half of the Atlantic Coast Conference second round NCAA college basketball tournament game, March 13, 2024, in Washington. (AP Photo/Susan Walsh, File)
(AP Photo/Susan Walsh)
  • SMU is a -1.5 point favorite vs Notre Dame
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • SMU / Notre Dame TV channel: ACCN

The SMU Mustangs visit Purcell Pavilion at the Joyce Center to take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Feb. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in South Bend, IN, USA.

SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The SMU vs. Notre Dame Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

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SMU vs. Notre Dame Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
SMU-1.5 -115O 145.5 -115-135
Notre Dame +1.5 -105U 145.5 -105+110

SMU vs Notre Dame Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 78.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

SMU vs Notre Dame Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 57.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+6.15 Units / 1% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 17 games at home (+1.35 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.02 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 33 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has a 13-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.15 Units / -0.55% ROI).

  • 18-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 0.34% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 6.53% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Under for -4.45 Units / -16.21% ROI

Notre Dame Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Notre Dame has a 11-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.25 Units / -11.84% ROI).

  • 13-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -5.73% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Over for -3.25 Units / -11.84% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 3.27% ROI

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

SMU has averaged 13.8 offensive rebounds per game (784 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

SMU had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (488 assists/ 358 TOs) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

SMU had 456 offensive rebounds last season — 8th most among Division 1 Teams

Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends:

Notre Dame shot 40% (715/1,769) last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

Notre Dame shot 39% (341/870) in the second half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 46%

Notre Dame shot 40% (715/1,769) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 45%

Notre Dame has averaged 10.6 assists per game (349 assists/33 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 14.2

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has averaged 7.7 steals per game (193 steals/25 games) this season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

SMU has averaged 8.0 steals per game (457 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

SMU averaged 8.2 steals per game (264 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (523/1,320) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 45%

Notre Dame Defensive Stats & Trends:

Notre Dame has forced 8.7 turnovers per game (208 turnovers/24 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 10.7

Notre Dame averaged 5.7 steals per game (181 steals/32 games) last season — 5th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Notre Dame has averaged 5.7 steals per game (325 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Notre Dame has averaged 5.0 steals per game (119 steals/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.