SMU vs Wichita State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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Wichita State forward Kenny Pohto (11) can't hold onto a rebound during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against San Francisco in the Hall of Fame Classic, Tuesday, Nov. 22, 2022, in Kansas City, Mo. San Francisco won 67-63. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2024, 10:55 AM
  • SMU (11-6) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Wichita State (5-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • SMU / Wichita State TV channel: ESPN2

The SMU Mustangs (11-6) visit Charles Koch Arena to take on the Wichita State Shockers (5-12) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Wichita, KS.

SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The SMU vs. Wichita State Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

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SMU vs. Wichita State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
SMU-5.5 -110O 145.5 -110-225
Wichita State +5.5 -110U 145.5 -110+180

SMU vs Wichita State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 67.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

SMU vs Wichita State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Wichita State will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+8.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 29 games (+5.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 27 games (+2.90 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Wichita State has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Wichita State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Wichita State has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Wichita State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+1.40 Units / 3% ROI)

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has a 11-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.5 Units / 27.78% ROI).

  • 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.1 Units / 8.35% ROI
  • 7-11 when betting the Over for -5.1 Units / -25.69% ROI
  • 11-7 when betting the Under for +3.35 Units / 16.96% ROI

Wichita State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Wichita State has a 4-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-10.3 Units / -52.02% ROI).

  • 6-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -21.34% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 5.53% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting the Under for -3 Units / -15.23% ROI

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has averaged 1.20 points per shot (3,687 points/3,081 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.25

SMU is shooting 68% from the free throw line (665/979) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%

SMU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (737 assists/ 640 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

SMU has a TS% of 45% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Wichita State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Wichita State has a 28% free throw rate (322 free throw attempts/1,170 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Wichita State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (214 assists/ 248 TOs) this season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Wichita State is shooting 31% from three (331/1,069) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Wichita State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (214 assists/ 248 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 37% (419/1,121) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 42%

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 25% from three (27/107) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (112/422) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

SMU has allowed an average of 1.06 points per shot (1,191 points/1,121 shots) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.19

Wichita State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Wichita State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (111 steals/19 games) this season — 2nd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Wichita State has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (3,590 points/3,163 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Wichita State has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (3,590 points/3,163 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Wichita State has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (1,399 points/1,232 shots) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.