South Alabama vs Arkansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 02, 2023, 12:23 PM
  • South Alabama (9-13) are South Alabama -4.5 point favorites vs Arkansas State (9-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 128.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The South Alabama Jaguars (9-13) visit First National Bank Arena to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves (9-14) on Feb. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Jonesboro.

South Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Over/Under is 128.5 total points.

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South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Alabama-4.5 -105O 128.5 -105-185
Arkansas State +4.5 -115U 128.5 -115+150

South Alabama vs Arkansas State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this game with 57.1% confidence.

South Alabama vs Arkansas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Alabama will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both South Alabama and Arkansas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+8.05 Units / 49% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+6.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+9.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+0.85 Units / 1% ROI)

South Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Alabama has gone 10-10 against the spread this college basketball season (-1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 6-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.55 Units / -35.52% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Over for -1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Under for -1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas State has gone 6-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-8.3 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 6-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -17.32% ROI
  • 7-13 when betting the Over for -7.3 Units / -33.18% ROI
  • 13-7 when betting the Under for +5.3 Units / 24.09% ROI

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has 11.6 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 17.9

South Alabama has 11.6 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

South Alabama has averaged 6.5 offensive rebounds per game (143 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 9.8

South Alabama has averaged 10.2 turnovers per game (224 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 65.2 points per game (1,499 points/23 games) this season — 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Arkansas State has made 6.1 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 43rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Arkansas State has a TS% of 45% this season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 47%

Arkansas State has averaged 1.17 points per shot (1,499 points/1,276 shots) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.22

South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has averaged 6.1 steals per game (135 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5

South Alabama has averaged 23.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,305 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.0

South Alabama has averaged 6.6 steals per game (365 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

South Alabama has allowed 65.4 points per game (3,597 points/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.8

Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has 389 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State has forced 11.2 turnovers per game (257 turnovers/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 13.1

Arkansas State has allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (3,518 points/2,916 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 1.18

Arkansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (346/977) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.