South Alabama vs Georgia State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 2

A Georgia State Panthers player dribbling the ball with an opponent falling in an attempt to defend
(AP Photo)
  • South Alabama is a -5.5 point favorite vs Georgia State
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • South Alabama / Georgia State TV channel: ESPN+

The South Alabama Jaguars visit GSU Convocation Center to take on the Georgia State Panthers on Jan. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

South Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The South Alabama vs. Georgia State Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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South Alabama vs. Georgia State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Alabama-5.5 -105O 140.5 -115-225
Georgia State +5.5 -115U 140.5 -105+185

South Alabama vs Georgia State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

South Alabama vs Georgia State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Georgia State will cover the spread with 51.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • South Alabama has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.11 Units / 6% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 30 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Georgia State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.70 Units / 4% ROI)

South Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Alabama has a 7-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -5.94% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Georgia State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Georgia State has a 5-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.6 Units / -19.85% ROI).

  • 3-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -43.49% ROI
  • 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -19.77% ROI
  • 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.55 Units / 11.7% ROI

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has averaged 8.3 turnovers per game (108 turnovers/13 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 12.4

South Alabama has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (208 assists/ 108 TOs) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1

South Alabama has averaged 7.4 offensive rebounds per game (326 rebounds/44 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.3

South Alabama averaged 6.8 offensive rebounds per game (211 rebounds/31 games) last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Georgia State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Georgia State averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (291 turnovers/31 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Georgia State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (148 assists/ 170 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Georgia State has a TS% of 44% this season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Georgia State has an eFG% of 47% this season — 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has allowed 11.8 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.3

South Alabama has allowed 11.8 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

South Alabama has averaged 23.2 defensive rebounds per game (302 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.8

South Alabama averaged 6.8 steals per game (210 steals/31 games) last season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Georgia State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Georgia State has allowed opponents to shoot 58% (117/200) this season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 47%

Georgia State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (255 steals/44 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Georgia State averaged 5.8 steals per game (179 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Georgia State averaged 25.1 defensive rebounds per game (779 rebounds/31 games) last season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.