St. John’s vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 22

Virginia head coach Tony Bennett reacts to a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Wake Forest in Winston-Salem, N.C., Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023.
(AP Photo/Chuck Burton)
  • St. John’s is a -11.5 point favorite vs Virginia
  • Total (Over/Under): 131.5 points
  • St. John’s / Virginia TV channel: CBSSN

The St. John’s Red Storm visit Baha Mar Convention Center to take on the Virginia Cavaliers on Nov. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in .

St. John’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The St. John’s vs. Virginia Over/Under is 131.5 total points.

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St. John’s vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
St. John’s-11.5 -105O 131.5 -110-700
Virginia +11.5 -115U 131.5 -110+500

St. John’s vs Virginia Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts St. John’s will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

St. John’s vs Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts St. John’s will cover the spread with 68.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • St. John’s have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • St. John’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 33 games (+9.85 Units / 4% ROI)
  • St. John’s have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • St. John’s has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+3.15 Units / 2% ROI)
  • St. John’s has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 33 games (+1.25 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+6.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+4.00 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.70 Units / 10% ROI)

St. John’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

St. John’s has a 4-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.75 Units / 48.67% ROI).

  • 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 4.39% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 12.61% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.35 Units / -24.77% ROI

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a 1-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 6.07% ROI
  • 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

St. John’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

St. John’s had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (450 assists/ 326 TOs) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

St. John’s shot 35% from three (114/321) in the first half last season — 3rd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

St. John’s had 423 offensive rebounds last season — 2nd most among Big East Teams

St. John’s had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (450 assists/ 326 TOs) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74.5

Virginia shot 62% from the free throw line (260/416) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Virginia averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (255 turnovers/31 games) last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

St. John’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

No Matchup notes for this Game

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0


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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.