Tarleton State vs Stephen F. Austin Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 15, 2023, 11:32 AM
  • Stephen F. Austin (16-9) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Tarleton State (14-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Tarleton State Texans (14-12) visit William R. Johnson Coliseum to take on the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (16-9) on Feb. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Nacogdoches.

Stephen F. Austin is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Tarleton State vs. Stephen F. Austin Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Tarleton State vs. Stephen F. Austin Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tarleton State+6.5 -110O 138.5 -105+220
Stephen F. Austin -6.5 -110U 138.5 -115-275

Tarleton State vs Stephen F. Austin Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Stephen F. Austin will win this game with 65.9% confidence.

Tarleton State vs Stephen F. Austin Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tarleton State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Tarleton State and Stephen F. Austin, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 33 games (+14.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 41 games (+5.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Stephen F. Austin have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.15 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Stephen F. Austin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Stephen F. Austin has hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games (+8.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Stephen F. Austin have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 33 games (+7.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Stephen F. Austin has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games (+6.30 Units / 5% ROI)

Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tarleton State has gone 11-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.15 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 11-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -9.76% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI

Stephen F. Austin Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Stephen F. Austin has gone 14-7 against the spread this college basketball season (+6.3 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 13-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -2.94% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI

Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has made 4.6 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Tarleton State has made 4.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Tarleton State has a TS% of 45% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 47%

Tarleton State has averaged 71.5 points per game (1,572 points/22 games) this season — 3rd lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 74.6

Stephen F. Austin Offensive Stats & Trends:

Stephen F. Austin has an eFG% of 54% this season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Stephen F. Austin has averaged 1.34 points per shot (1,752 points/1,311 shots) this season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Stephen F. Austin has averaged 15.0 turnovers per game (345 turnovers/23 games) this season — 8th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Stephen F. Austin has averaged 15.6 assists per game (358 assists/23 games) this season — 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has averaged 20.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,062 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Tarleton State has averaged 21.0 defensive rebounds per game (461 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Tarleton State has 203 steals this season — 3rd most among WAC Teams

Tarleton State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (440 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Stephen F. Austin Defensive Stats & Trends:

Stephen F. Austin has averaged 9.4 steals per game (217 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Stephen F. Austin has averaged 9.2 steals per game (507 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Stephen F. Austin has averaged 21.7 defensive rebounds per game (500 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Stephen F. Austin has 217 steals this season — 8th most among Division 1 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.