TCU vs Oklahoma Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2023, 11:11 AM
  • TCU (20-10) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Oklahoma (14-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The TCU Horned Frogs (20-10) visit Lloyd Noble Center to take on the Oklahoma Sooners (14-16) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Norman.

TCU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The TCU vs. Oklahoma Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

Bet now on Oklahoma vs TCU & all college basketball games with BetMGM

TCU vs. Oklahoma Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
TCU-1.5 -115O 143.5 -115-140
Oklahoma +1.5 -105U 143.5 -105+115

TCU vs Oklahoma Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts TCU will win this game with 53.8% confidence.

TCU vs Oklahoma Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both TCU and Oklahoma, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Oklahoma vs TCU and all games with BetMGM


  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 45 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+17.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+13.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 50 games (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+6.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+1.05 Units / 10% ROI)

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has gone 15-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 14-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.5 Units / 9.11% ROI
  • 17-13 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI
  • 13-17 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -17.27% ROI

Oklahoma Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Oklahoma has gone 13-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.65 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 11-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.1 Units / -29.94% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.12% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -10.61% ROI

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU is shooting 57% (296/520) in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 52%

TCU is shooting 49% (350/720) in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 46%

Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends:

Oklahoma averaged 6.1 turnovers per game (110 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 4.2

Oklahoma averaged 10.8 turnovers per game (194 turnovers/18 games) in half court possessions last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 8.7

Oklahoma shot 47% (189/405) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Oklahoma had a TS% of 51% in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 18% from three (4/22) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 37%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

TCU forced 3.5 turnovers per game (63 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 4.2

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 17% (4/23) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

Oklahoma Defensive Stats & Trends:

Oklahoma has allowed 5.1 made three-pointers per game this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Oklahoma allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (69 points/57 shots) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.95

Oklahoma allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (23/57) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Oklahoma allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (42/108) in half court possessions last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%


Bet now on Oklahoma vs TCU and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated college basketball betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM first bet offer for $1000
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.