- Purdue (19-15) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Tennessee (18-16)
- Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
- Tennessee / Purdue TV channel: CBS
The Tennessee Volunteers (18-16) visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Purdue Boilermakers (19-15) on Mar. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
Purdue is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Tennessee vs. Purdue Over/Under is 147.5 total points.
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Tennessee vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Tennessee | +3.5 -115 | O 147.5 -105 | +135 |
| Purdue | -3.5 -105 | U 147.5 -115 | -160 |
Tennessee vs Purdue Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Purdue will win this March Madness game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Tennessee vs Purdue Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence for this game.
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Tennessee Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Purdue Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 30 games (+14.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 31 games (+9.65 Units / 3% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.25 Units / 20% ROI)
Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Tennessee has a 18-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.45 Units / 1.17% ROI).
- 21-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -1.91% ROI
- 18-17 when betting the Over for -0.75 Units / -1.94% ROI
- 17-18 when betting the Under for -2.75 Units / -7.16% ROI
Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Purdue has a 20-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.45 Units / 8.7% ROI).
- 26-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.45 Units / 7.46% ROI
- 23-13 when betting the Over for +8.7 Units / 21.97% ROI
- 13-23 when betting the Under for -12.3 Units / -31.06% ROI
Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:
Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (543 assists/ 343 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,119 assists/ 760 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,119 assists/ 760 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.2
Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (355 assists/ 293 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.0
Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:
Purdue is shooting 41% from three (280/676) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%
Purdue is shooting 41% from three (280/676) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Purdue has averaged 1.44 points per shot (2,773 points/1,927 shots) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.29
Purdue has averaged 1.38 points per shot (5,316 points/3,863 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.26
Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:
Tennessee has allowed 58.9 points per game (2,475 points/42 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 68.4
Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (1,403/3,689) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Tennessee has allowed 28.6 points per game (1,913 points/67 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32.8
Tennessee has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (840 rebounds/31 games) this season — 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:
Purdue has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (1,774 points/1,578 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.26
Purdue has allowed an average of 1.03 points per shot (1,046 points/1,014 shots) in the first half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.14
Purdue has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (2,297 points/2,069 shots) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.21
Purdue has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (4,493 points/4,093 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
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