Tennessee State vs Western Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 10

Western Kentucky player number 13 defending the basketball from Louisiana Tech player number 22.
(AP Photo)
  • Western Kentucky is a -16.5 point favorite vs Tennessee State
  • Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
  • Tennessee State / Western Kentucky TV channel: ESPN+

The Tennessee State Tigers visit E.A. Diddle Arena to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers on Dec. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Bowling Green, KY.

Western Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-105).

The Tennessee State vs. Western Kentucky Over/Under is 159.5 total points.

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Tennessee State vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee State+16.5 -115O 159.5 -105+900
Western Kentucky -16.5 -105U 159.5 -115-1600

Tennessee State vs Western Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Tennessee State vs Western Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Western Kentucky will cover the spread with 59.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Tennessee State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 away games (+13.30 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 30 games (+1.65 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+9.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+8.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)

Tennessee State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee State has a 5-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).

  • 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 15.79% ROI
  • 7-0 when betting the Over for +7 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 0-7 when betting the Under for -7.7 Units / -100% ROI

Western Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Kentucky has a 4-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.9 Units / 38.16% ROI).

  • 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 3.55% ROI
  • 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

Tennessee State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee State shot 44% (763/1,731) last season — 4th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 44%

Tennessee State averaged 35% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (605 free throw attempts/1,731 field goal attempts) last season — 3rd highest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Tennessee State had an eFG% of 50% last season — 4th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 49%

Tennessee State averaged 12.5 turnovers per game (376 turnovers/30 games) last season — 2nd highest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (440 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 15th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Western Kentucky had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (430 assists/ 440 TOs) last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Western Kentucky shot 34% from three (222/649) last season — 4th best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 34%

Western Kentucky had a TS% of 48% last season — 2nd best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 47%

Tennessee State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee State averaged 6.8 steals per game (203 steals/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Tennessee State averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (684 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Tennessee State stole the ball 203 times last season — 2nd most among Ohio Valley Teams

Tennessee State allowed 6.3 made three-pointers per game last season — 4th best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 6.9

Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky averaged 28.1 defensive rebounds per game (899 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Western Kentucky allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (268/835) last season — 3rd best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Western Kentucky stole the ball 248 times last season — 3rd most among Conference USA Teams

Western Kentucky allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (2,398 points/2,023 shots) last season — 3rd best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.24


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.