Texas State vs Appalachian State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 16, 2023, 9:52 AM
  • Appalachian State (14-13) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Texas State (12-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 122.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Texas State Bobcats (12-15) visit George M. Holmes Convocation Center to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers (14-13) on Feb. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Boone.

Appalachian State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Texas State vs. Appalachian State Over/Under is 122.5 total points.

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Texas State vs. Appalachian State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas State+4.5 -115O 122.5 -110+165
Appalachian State -4.5 -105U 122.5 -110-200

Texas State vs Appalachian State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Appalachian State will win this game with 59.6% confidence.

Texas State vs Appalachian State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Appalachian State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas State and Appalachian State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 away games (+8.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Texas State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 away games (+4.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 39 games (+20.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Appalachian State have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 48 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 49 games (+5.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has gone 7-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-10.6 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 9-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -17.28% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI

Appalachian State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Appalachian State has gone 12-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 3.59% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Over for -4.3 Units / -16.29% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 7.58% ROI

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has made 4.1 three-pointers per game this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Texas State has made 4.1 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Texas State has an eFG% of 46% this season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Texas State has averaged 64.5 points per game (1,547 points/24 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 72.3

Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Appalachian State has averaged 10.2 turnovers per game (594 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 12.2

Appalachian State has averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (191 rebounds/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Appalachian State has averaged 10.2 turnovers per game (594 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Appalachian State has averaged 10.7 turnovers per game (257 turnovers/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (516 rebounds/24 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Texas State has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (516 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Texas State has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,165 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.0

Texas State has averaged 6.7 steals per game (160 steals/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Appalachian State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Appalachian State has averaged 25.5 defensive rebounds per game (612 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Appalachian State has averaged 24.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,430 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.0

Appalachian State has averaged 6.2 steals per game (361 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Appalachian State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (562/1,411) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 42%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.