- Marshall (24-7) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Texas State (15-18)
- Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN+
The Texas State Bobcats (15-18) visit Pensacola Bay Center to take on the Marshall Thundering Herd (24-7) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Pensacola.
Marshall is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Texas State vs. Marshall Over/Under is 146.5 total points.
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Texas State vs. Marshall Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas State | +7.5 -110 | O 146.5 -110 | +270 |
| Marshall | -7.5 -110 | U 146.5 -110 | -350 |
Texas State vs Marshall Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Marshall will win this game with 66.5% confidence.
Texas State vs Marshall Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Marshall will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas State and Marshall, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Texas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 75% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 away games (+9.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- Texas State have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 18 away games (+8.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 away games (+4.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.70 Units / 41% ROI)
Marshall Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Marshall has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 25 games (+14.15 Units / 50% ROI)
- Marshall has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 46 games (+13.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Marshall has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games (+8.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- Marshall have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Marshall has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Texas State has gone 9-19 against the spread this college basketball season (-11.9 Units / 0% ROI).
- 12-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -13.65% ROI
- 18-12 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- 12-18 when betting the Under for -7.8 Units / -23.64% ROI
Marshall Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Marshall has gone 19-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+6.9 Units / 20.91% ROI).
- 22-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -2.25% ROI
- 15-14 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -1.21% ROI
- 14-15 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -7.58% ROI
Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Texas State has made 4.1 three-pointers per game this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Texas State has made 4.1 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.9
Texas State has averaged 9.8 assists per game (235 assists/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3
Texas State has averaged 64.5 points per game (1,547 points/24 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 72.3
Marshall Offensive Stats & Trends:
Marshall has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (909 assists/ 706 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Marshall has averaged 18.2 assists per game (437 assists/24 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3
Marshall has averaged 82.1 points per game (1,970 points/24 games) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8
Marshall is shooting 47% (762/1,628) this season — 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Texas State has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (516 rebounds/24 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7
Texas State has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,165 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.0
Texas State has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (516 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Texas State has averaged 6.7 steals per game (160 steals/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Marshall Defensive Stats & Trends:
Marshall has averaged 9.3 steals per game (223 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Marshall has 223 steals this season — 6th most among Division 1 Teams
Marshall has averaged 7.8 steals per game (446 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Marshall has averaged 25.2 defensive rebounds per game (605 rebounds/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7
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