Texas vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 14

(AP Photo)
  • Tennessee is a -10.5 point favorite vs Texas
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Texas / Tennessee TV channel: ESPN

The Texas Longhorns visit Bridgestone Arena to take on the Tennessee Volunteers on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Nashville, TN, TN, USA.

Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-102).

The Texas vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Texas vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas+10.5 -118O 135.5 -110+400
Tennessee -10.5 -102U 135.5 -110-550

Texas vs Tennessee Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+5.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games (+3.40 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+2.45 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+7.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 games (+5.40 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 36 games (+1.95 Units / 5% ROI)

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has a 17-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.55 Units / -1.52% ROI).

  • 19-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 0.2% ROI
  • 20-11 when betting the Over for +7.9 Units / 21.76% ROI
  • 11-20 when betting the Under for -11 Units / -30.3% ROI

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has a 15-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.7 Units / -7.88% ROI).

  • 24-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.45 Units / 0.58% ROI
  • 13-18 when betting the Over for -6.85 Units / -20.06% ROI
  • 18-13 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 10.87% ROI

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas averaged 1.49 points per shot (73 points/49 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas averaged 4.8 turnovers per game (152 turnovers/32 games) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Texas shot 76% from the free throw line (172/226) in the first half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 70%

Texas had an eFG% of 63% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee averaged 4.7 turnovers per game (156 turnovers/33 games) in the second half last season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 5.4

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,043 assists/ 668 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Tennessee has averaged 4.7 turnovers per game (299 turnovers/64 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 5.4

Tennessee averaged 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (396 rebounds/33 games) last season — 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed an average of 1.88 points per shot (60 points/32 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 57% on catch and shoot opportunities (12/21) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 17% from three off the dribble (6/36) in the first half last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 27%

Texas forced 0.4 turnovers per game (6 turnovers/16 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (224/810) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (466/1,581) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Tennessee has allowed an average of 1.22 points per shot (2,213 points/1,821 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.32

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (1,411/3,670) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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