Texas vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 23, 2024, 2:00 PM
  • Tennessee (17-15) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Texas (13-20)
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • Texas / Tennessee TV channel: CBS

The Texas Longhorns (13-20) visit Spectrum Center to take on the Tennessee Volunteers (17-15) on Mar. 23. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Charlotte, NC.

Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Texas vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

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Texas vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas+6.5 -110O 145.5 -110+225
Tennessee -6.5 -110U 145.5 -110-275

Texas vs Tennessee Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 73.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.15 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+2.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 35 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 34 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has a 13-20 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.05 Units / -24.9% ROI).

  • 16-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -1.23% ROI
  • 20-13 when betting the Over for +5.7 Units / 15.62% ROI
  • 13-20 when betting the Under for -8.9 Units / -24.59% ROI

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has a 17-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.55 Units / 1.52% ROI).

  • 19-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -3.32% ROI
  • 17-16 when betting the Over for -0.65 Units / -1.79% ROI
  • 16-17 when betting the Under for -2.65 Units / -7.32% ROI

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas averaged 4.8 turnovers per game (152 turnovers/32 games) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Texas had an eFG% of 63% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%

Texas shot 54% from three (14/26) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

Texas averaged 1.49 points per shot (73 points/49 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (528 assists/ 327 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,089 assists/ 733 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,089 assists/ 733 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.2

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (734 assists/ 440 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed an average of 1.88 points per shot (60 points/32 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 17% from three off the dribble (6/36) in the first half last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 27%

Texas allowed 2.0 made three-pointers per game in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 2.7

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 57% on catch and shoot opportunities (12/21) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (427/1,478) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Tennessee has allowed 62.4 points per game (4,058 points/65 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 70.7

Tennessee has averaged 26.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,708 rebounds/65 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Tennessee has allowed 28.8 points per game (1,874 points/65 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.