Texas vs Texas Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 13, 2023, 2:13 PM
  • Texas (20-5) are -4.5 point favorites vs Texas Tech (13-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Texas Longhorns (20-5) visit United Supermarkets Arena to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (13-12) on Feb. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Lubbock.

Texas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Texas vs. Texas Tech Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

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Texas vs. Texas Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas-4.5 -105O 145.5 -105-175
Texas Tech +4.5 -115U 145.5 -115+145

Texas vs Texas Tech Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 57.1% confidence.

Texas vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas and Texas Tech, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 43 games (+7.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 25 games at home (+16.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 49 games (+10.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has gone 11-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.4 Units / -16.06% ROI).

  • 13-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 7.64% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Over for +4.1 Units / 14.91% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Under for -6.4 Units / -23.27% ROI

Texas Tech Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas Tech has gone 10-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 9-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -4.91% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Under for -6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas has a TS% of 51% in the second half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Texas averaged 1.49 points per shot (73 points/49 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas had an eFG% of 63% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%

Texas has a TS% of 55% in possessions with two to five passes this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech attempted 43 threes on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech had a TS% of 43% on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Texas Tech made 0.3 three-pointers per game in transition last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Texas Tech attempted 43 shots on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed an average of 1.88 points per shot (60 points/32 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 17% from three off the dribble (6/36) in the first half last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 27%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 57% on catch and shoot opportunities (12/21) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Texas allowed 3.8 points per game (60 points/16 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 5.8

Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech allowed 1.5 made three-pointers per game in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

Texas Tech allowed opponents to shoot 35% on catch and shoot opportunities (72/204) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Texas Tech allowed 25.4 points per game (457 points/18 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Texas Tech allowed opponents to shoot 34% on catch and shoot opportunities (15/44) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 48%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.