Texas vs Texas Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 27

Texas Tech's Pop Isaacs (2) looks to pass the ball during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Oklahoma State, Saturday, March 4, 2023, in Lubbock, Texas. (AP Photo/Brad Tollefson)
(AP Photo/Brad Tollefson)
  • Texas Tech (11-15) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Texas (9-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Texas / Texas Tech TV channel: ESPN

The Texas Longhorns (9-18) visit United Supermarkets Arena to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (11-15) on Feb. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Lubbock, TX.

Texas Tech is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Texas vs. Texas Tech Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Texas vs. Texas Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas+3.5 -110O 144.5 -110+140
Texas Tech -3.5 -110U 144.5 -110-165

Texas vs Texas Tech Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+1.75 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+9.80 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+8.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.40 Units / 13% ROI)

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has a 9-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-10.85 Units / -36.47% ROI).

  • 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -2.08% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 6.02% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Under for -4.4 Units / -14.86% ROI

Texas Tech Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas Tech has a 11-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.5 Units / -18.46% ROI).

  • 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 5.47% ROI
  • 17-10 when betting the Over for +6 Units / 20.2% ROI
  • 10-17 when betting the Under for -8.7 Units / -29.29% ROI

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas averaged 1.49 points per shot (73 points/49 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas had an eFG% of 63% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%

Texas averaged 4.8 turnovers per game (152 turnovers/32 games) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Texas is shooting 41% from three (102/250) in the first half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech attempted 43 threes on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech attempted 43 shots on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech made 0.3 three-pointers per game in transition last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Texas Tech had a TS% of 43% on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three off the dribble (13/28) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 57% on catch and shoot opportunities (12/21) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Texas allowed an average of 1.88 points per shot (60 points/32 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas allowed 4.4 made three-pointers per game last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 5.3

Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech allowed 25.4 points per game (457 points/18 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Texas Tech allowed opponents to shoot 35% on catch and shoot opportunities (72/204) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Texas Tech allowed 29.1 points per game (523 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2

Texas Tech allowed opponents to shoot 34% on catch and shoot opportunities (15/44) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 48%


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.