Troy vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 13

  • Arkansas is a -12.5 point favorite vs Troy
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Troy / Arkansas TV channel: ESPN+ | SECN

The Troy Trojans visit Bud Walton Arena to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks on Nov. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Fayetteville, AR.

Arkansas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Troy vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Troy vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Troy+12.5 -110O 153.5 -115+575
Arkansas -12.5 -110U 153.5 -105-900

Troy vs Arkansas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Troy vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 59.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 29 games (+13.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+4.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games (+12.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+0.80 Units / 4% ROI)

Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Troy has a 2-0 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 19.14% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 0-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.1 Units / -50% ROI).

  • 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Troy had 23.2 free throw attempts per game last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 19.8

Troy made 8.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Troy averaged 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (350 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Troy averaged 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (350 rebounds/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.6

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Troy stole the ball 317 times last season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Troy stole the ball 317 times last season — 9th most among Division 1 Teams

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas averaged 5.9 steals per game (184 steals/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Arkansas allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (2,495 points/1,922 shots) last season — tied for 7th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Arkansas allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (1,335 points/945 shots) in the second half last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.33

Arkansas allowed 80.5 points per game (2,495 points/31 games) last season — 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.