UC Davis vs Pepperdine Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 21

(AP Photo)
  • Pepperdine is a -1.5 point favorite vs UC Davis
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • UC Davis / Pepperdine TV channel: ESPN+

The UC Davis Aggies visit Firestone Fieldhouse to take on the Pepperdine Waves on Dec. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Malibu, CA.

Pepperdine is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The UC Davis vs. Pepperdine Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

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UC Davis vs. Pepperdine Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UC Davis+1.5 -115O 145.5 -110-105
Pepperdine -1.5 -105U 145.5 -110-115

UC Davis vs Pepperdine Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UC Davis will win this college basketball game with 79.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UC Davis vs Pepperdine Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UC Davis will cover the spread with 56.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UC Davis has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+15.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • UC Davis has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • UC Davis have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • UC Davis has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+5.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • UC Davis has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Pepperdine have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+2.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Pepperdine has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 30 games (+1.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Pepperdine has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.65 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Pepperdine has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)

UC Davis Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UC Davis has a 7-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI).

  • 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.55 Units / 54.63% ROI
  • 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
  • 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI

Pepperdine Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Pepperdine has a 5-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).

  • 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -31.23% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

UC Davis Offensive Stats & Trends:

UC Davis has a TS% of 45% this season — 2nd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 48%

UC Davis has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (120 assists/ 161 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 1.0

UC Davis is shooting 49% from inside the arc (137/277) this season — 2nd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 54%

UC Davis averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (403 turnovers/31 games) last season — 2nd highest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Pepperdine Offensive Stats & Trends:

Pepperdine has averaged 16.6 assists per game (199 assists/12 games) this season — 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 14.1

Pepperdine is shooting 46% (316/691) this season — 4th best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 46%

Pepperdine has made 6.8 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Pepperdine averaged 11.2 turnovers per game (325 turnovers/29 games) last season — 4th best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 11.5

UC Davis Defensive Stats & Trends:

UC Davis averaged 21.8 defensive rebounds per game (675 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.8

UC Davis forced 14.0 turnovers per game (435 turnovers/31 games) last season — best among Big West Teams ; League Avg: 11.8

UC Davis averaged 21.8 defensive rebounds per game (675 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

UC Davis averaged 8.0 steals per game (248 steals/31 games) last season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Pepperdine Defensive Stats & Trends:

Pepperdine has averaged 5.5 steals per game (66 steals/12 games) this season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Pepperdine has averaged 28.2 defensive rebounds per game (338 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 25.0

Pepperdine has forced 10.6 turnovers per game (127 turnovers/12 games) this season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.6

Pepperdine has forced 11.4 turnovers per game (466 turnovers/41 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 11.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.